IQV

IQVIA Holdings Inc.

60
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation53/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

IQV's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over IQV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

IQV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

IQV's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

IQV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE64x128x191x255x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE64x128x191x255x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$271—
Cheap27x$218-19%
Current33x$271—
Fair36x$292+7.6%
Expensive124x$1,021+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IQV has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

IQV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for IQV, with profitability holding steady.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over IQV on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

IQV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$333.86
Downside-21%$215.44

Calculated from the latest close: $271.11 on Nov 12.

IQV trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IQV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

IQV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.29Q1 2024: $7.32Q2 2024: $7.70Q3 2024: $7.62Q4 2024: $7.49Q1 2025: $7.33Q2 2025: $6.90Q3 2025: $7.28Q4 2025: $7.84Q1 2026: $8.05Q2 2026: $8.04Q3 2026: $8.21Forward: $13.78
Q4 2023: $7.29Q1 2024: $7.32Q2 2024: $7.70Q3 2024: $7.62Q4 2024: $7.49Q1 2025: $7.33Q2 2025: $6.90Q3 2025: $7.28Q4 2025: $7.84Q1 2026: $8.05Q2 2026: $8.04Q3 2026: $8.21Forward: $13.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.78+68%
Q3 2026$8.21+13%
Q2 2026$8.04+17%
Q1 2026$8.05+9.8%
Q4 2025$7.84+4.7%
Q3 2025$7.28-4.5%
Q2 2025$6.90-10%
Q1 2025$7.33+0.1%
Q4 2024$7.49+2.7%

IQV earned $8.21 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over IQV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IQV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $3.9BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $3.9BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $3.9BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $4BQ3 2025: $4.1BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $4.2BQ2 2026: $4.4BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B+8%
Q2 2026$4.4B+8.7%
Q1 2026$4.2B+8.4%
Q4 2025$4.4B+10%
Q3 2025$4.1B+5.2%
Q2 2025$4B+5.3%
Q1 2025$3.8B+2.5%
Q4 2024$4B+2.3%

IQV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.4B last quarter, up 8% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over IQV on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

IQV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $568MQ1 2024: $377MQ2 2024: $445MQ3 2024: $571MQ4 2024: $721MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $292MQ3 2025: $772MQ4 2025: $561MQ1 2026: $491MQ2 2026: $360MQ3 2026: $667M
Q4 2023: $568MQ1 2024: $377MQ2 2024: $445MQ3 2024: $571MQ4 2024: $721MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $292MQ3 2025: $772MQ4 2025: $561MQ1 2026: $491MQ2 2026: $360MQ3 2026: $667M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$667M-14%
Q2 2026$360M+23%
Q1 2026$491M+15%
Q4 2025$561M-22%
Q3 2025$772M+35%
Q2 2025$292M-34%
Q1 2025$426M+13%
Q4 2024$721M+27%

IQV's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.1B over the past year, down 6% from the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over IQV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IQV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 186MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 183MQ1 2025: 177MQ2 2025: 173MQ3 2025: 172MQ4 2025: 174MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 167MQ3 2026: 167M
Q4 2023: 186MQ1 2024: 184MQ2 2024: 184MQ3 2024: 184MQ4 2024: 183MQ1 2025: 177MQ2 2025: 173MQ3 2025: 172MQ4 2025: 174MQ1 2026: 170MQ2 2026: 167MQ3 2026: 167M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-300K shares
1 year-2.7%-4.7M shares
3 years-10%-18.5M shares
5 years-14%-28.3M shares
Available history-16%-32.6M shares

IQV has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

IQV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.0xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: 4.0xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.7xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 4.1xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xHigh
Q2 20264.2xHigh
Q1 20264.1xHigh
Q4 20254.1xHigh
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 20243.7xElevated

IQV's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over IQV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IQV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.2Neutral
Stochastic76.5Neutral

IQV's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

IQV PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricIQVSector medianRelative
PE33x26x28% above
PE %38299 pts above

IQV has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

IQV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$268.11.1% above
20 week MA$250.18.4% above
50 week MA$213.927% above
100 week MA$198.537% above
200 week MA$208.630% above

IQV has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 30% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

IQV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$154.4$175.9+14%
2021$175.9$278.0+58%
2022$278.0$203.8-27%
2023$203.8$231.4+14%
2024$231.4$199.4-14%
2025$199.4$226.9+14%
2026 YTD$226.9$271.1+19%

IQV has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 19% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over IQV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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