IQ

iQIYI, Inc.

40
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

IQ's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TMUS

T-Mobile US, Inc.

69
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

TMUS has the edge over IQ overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

IQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

IQ's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

TMUS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

IQ PE Valuation

IQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x65x97x130x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$171—
Current16x$171—
Cheap21x$218+27%
Fair26x$274+60%
Expensive56x$581+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.

IQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IQ's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TMUS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

TMUS has the edge over IQ on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

IQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$1.31
Downside-31%$0.61

Calculated from the latest close: $0.89 on Nov 12.

IQ trails TMUS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMUS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$240.82
Downside-9%$155.85

Calculated from the latest close: $171.03 on Nov 12.

TMUS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IQ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IQ Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.28Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.30Q2 2024: $0.26Q3 2024: $0.22Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.01Q3 2025: $-0.07Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.13
Q3 2023: $0.28Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.30Q2 2024: $0.26Q3 2024: $0.22Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.01Q3 2025: $-0.07Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.13-1400%
Q1 2026-$0.11-375%
Q4 2025-$0.04-136%
Q3 2025-$0.07-132%
Q2 2025$0.01-96%
Q1 2025$0.04-87%
Q4 2024$0.11-63%
Q3 2024$0.22-21%

IQ has swung to a loss: it lost $0.13 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TMUS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
Q4 2023: $6.93Q1 2024: $7.35Q2 2024: $7.98Q3 2024: $8.77Q4 2024: $9.66Q1 2025: $10.24Q2 2025: $10.59Q3 2025: $10.39Q4 2025: $9.72Q1 2026: $9.41Q2 2026: $9.56Q3 2026: $10.37Forward: $13.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.49+30%
Q3 2026$10.37-0.2%
Q2 2026$9.56-9.7%
Q1 2026$9.41-8.1%
Q4 2025$9.72+0.6%
Q3 2025$10.39+18%
Q2 2025$10.59+33%
Q1 2025$10.24+39%
Q4 2024$9.66+39%

TMUS has the edge over IQ on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

IQ Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $992MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $995MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $934MQ2 2026: $941M
Q3 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $992MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $995MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $934MQ2 2026: $941M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$940.8M-5.4%
Q1 2026$934.3M-13%
Q4 2025$1B+2.7%
Q3 2025$1B-7.8%
Q2 2025$994.7M-11%
Q1 2025$1.1B-9.3%
Q4 2024$992.5M-14%
Q3 2024$1.1B-9.6%

IQ's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $941M last quarter, down 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMUS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
Q4 2023: $20.5BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $19.8BQ3 2024: $20.2BQ4 2024: $21.9BQ1 2025: $20.9BQ2 2025: $21.1BQ3 2025: $22BQ4 2025: $24.3BQ1 2026: $23.1BQ2 2026: $22.8BQ3 2026: $23.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.6B+7.4%
Q2 2026$22.8B+7.9%
Q1 2026$23.1B+11%
Q4 2025$24.3B+11%
Q3 2025$22B+8.9%
Q2 2025$21.1B+6.9%
Q1 2025$20.9B+6.6%
Q4 2024$21.9B+6.8%

TMUS has the edge over IQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IQ Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $124MQ4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $137MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$44MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $48M
Q3 2023: $124MQ4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $137MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$44MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $48M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$48M+$53.1M
Q1 2026$16.5M-65%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025-$43.6M-224%
Q2 2025-$5.1M-109%
Q1 2025$47.5M-65%
Q4 2024$71.1M-23%
Q3 2024$35.2M-72%

IQ still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $21M over the past year.

TMUS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $3.5BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $4.6BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.2BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+5.3%
Q2 2026$4.8B+4.4%
Q1 2026$4.6B+4.6%
Q4 2025$4.2B+25%
Q3 2025$4.8B+15%
Q2 2025$4.6B+32%
Q1 2025$4.4B+79%
Q4 2024$3.3B+2%

TMUS has the edge over IQ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IQ Total Shares

Q3 2023: 979MQ4 2023: 976MQ1 2024: 970MQ2 2024: 980MQ3 2024: 968MQ4 2024: 963MQ1 2025: 969MQ2 2025: 963MQ3 2025: 964MQ4 2025: 965MQ1 2026: 965MQ2 2026: 959M
Q3 2023: 979MQ4 2023: 976MQ1 2024: 970MQ2 2024: 980MQ3 2024: 968MQ4 2024: 963MQ1 2025: 969MQ2 2025: 963MQ3 2025: 964MQ4 2025: 965MQ1 2026: 965MQ2 2026: 959M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-6M shares
1 year-0.4%-4.1M shares
3 years-2%-19.6M shares
5 years+744%+846M shares
Available history+31%+229M shares

IQ has 959M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TMUS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-10.8M shares
1 year-4.9%-55M shares
3 years-8.8%-103M shares
5 years-15%-182M shares
Available history+24%+207M shares

TMUS has the edge over IQ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IQ Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.1xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 11.8xQ1 2026: 27.0xQ2 2026: 58.6x
Q3 2023: 1.1xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 11.8xQ1 2026: 27.0xQ2 2026: 58.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202658.6xHigh
Q1 202627.0xHigh
Q4 202511.8xHigh
Q3 20253.0xElevated
Q2 20252.8xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.2xModerate
Q3 20240.6xVery low

IQ's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

TMUS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.0xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20242.4xModerate

TMUS has the edge over IQ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.7Neutral
Stochastic13.5Oversold

IQ's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

TMUS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.9Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

IQ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricIQSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

IQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTMUSSector medianRelative
PE16x16xSame PE
PE %12625 pts below

TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

IQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.956.3% below
20 week MA$1.0515% below
50 week MA$1.3333% below
100 week MA$1.7148% below
200 week MA$3.1171% below

IQ is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 71% below its 200-week average.

TMUS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$159.17.5% above
20 week MA$172.00.5% below
50 week MA$187.88.9% below
100 week MA$212.920% below
200 week MA$188.79.4% below

TMUS has the edge over IQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.5$17.4-19%
2021$17.4$4.91-72%
2022$4.91$4.65-5.3%
2023$4.65$4.88+4.9%
2024$4.88$2.08-57%
2025$2.08$1.91-8.2%
2026 YTD$1.91$0.89-53%

IQ has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

TMUS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$77.2$132.9+72%
2021$132.9$119.9-9.8%
2022$119.9$140.0+17%
2023$140.0$160.3+15%
2024$160.3$223.0+39%
2025$223.0$201.0-9.9%
2026 YTD$201.0$171.0-15%

TMUS has the edge over IQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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