IQ

iQIYI, Inc.

40
Fundamentals37/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

IQ has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over IQ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

IQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

IQ's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

IQ PE Valuation

IQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

IQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IQ's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over IQ on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

IQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$1.31
Downside-31%$0.61

Calculated from the latest close: $0.89 on Nov 12.

IQ trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IQ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IQ Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.28Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.30Q2 2024: $0.26Q3 2024: $0.22Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.01Q3 2025: $-0.07Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.13
Q3 2023: $0.28Q4 2023: $0.30Q1 2024: $0.30Q2 2024: $0.26Q3 2024: $0.22Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.04Q2 2025: $0.01Q3 2025: $-0.07Q4 2025: $-0.04Q1 2026: $-0.11Q2 2026: $-0.13
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.13-1400%
Q1 2026-$0.11-375%
Q4 2025-$0.04-136%
Q3 2025-$0.07-132%
Q2 2025$0.01-96%
Q1 2025$0.04-87%
Q4 2024$0.11-63%
Q3 2024$0.22-21%

RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 1,400% for IQ versus RDDT down 39%.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has returned to profit: it earned $4.90 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

IQ Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $992MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $995MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $934MQ2 2026: $941M
Q3 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $992MQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $995MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $934MQ2 2026: $941M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$940.8M-5.4%
Q1 2026$934.3M-13%
Q4 2025$1B+2.7%
Q3 2025$1B-7.8%
Q2 2025$994.7M-11%
Q1 2025$1.1B-9.3%
Q4 2024$992.5M-14%
Q3 2024$1.1B-9.6%

IQ's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $941M last quarter, down 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over IQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IQ Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $124MQ4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $137MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$44MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $48M
Q3 2023: $124MQ4 2023: $92MQ1 2024: $137MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $71MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$44MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $48M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$48M+$53.1M
Q1 2026$16.5M-65%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025-$43.6M-224%
Q2 2025-$5.1M-109%
Q1 2025$47.5M-65%
Q4 2024$71.1M-23%
Q3 2024$35.2M-72%

IQ still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $21M over the past year.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over IQ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IQ Total Shares

Q3 2023: 979MQ4 2023: 976MQ1 2024: 970MQ2 2024: 980MQ3 2024: 968MQ4 2024: 963MQ1 2025: 969MQ2 2025: 963MQ3 2025: 964MQ4 2025: 965MQ1 2026: 965MQ2 2026: 959M
Q3 2023: 979MQ4 2023: 976MQ1 2024: 970MQ2 2024: 980MQ3 2024: 968MQ4 2024: 963MQ1 2025: 969MQ2 2025: 963MQ3 2025: 964MQ4 2025: 965MQ1 2026: 965MQ2 2026: 959M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-6M shares
1 year-0.4%-4.1M shares
3 years-2%-19.6M shares
5 years+744%+846M shares
Available history+31%+229M shares

IQ has 959M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

IQ Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.1xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 11.8xQ1 2026: 27.0xQ2 2026: 58.6x
Q3 2023: 1.1xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 2.2xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 11.8xQ1 2026: 27.0xQ2 2026: 58.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202658.6xHigh
Q1 202627.0xHigh
Q4 202511.8xHigh
Q3 20253.0xElevated
Q2 20252.8xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.2xModerate
Q3 20240.6xVery low

IQ's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.8 years a year ago.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over IQ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.7Neutral
Stochastic13.5Oversold

IQ's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

IQ PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricIQSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

IQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

IQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.956.3% below
20 week MA$1.0515% below
50 week MA$1.3333% below
100 week MA$1.7148% below
200 week MA$3.1171% below

RDDT has stronger trend alignment. IQ is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus RDDT above 0 of 4.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

RDDT is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 100-week average.

IQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.5$17.4-19%
2021$17.4$4.91-72%
2022$4.91$4.65-5.3%
2023$4.65$4.88+4.9%
2024$4.88$2.08-57%
2025$2.08$1.91-8.2%
2026 YTD$1.91$0.89-53%

IQ has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

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