IOT

Samsara Inc.

73
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

IOT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over IOT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

IOT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

IOT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

IOT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x428x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x428x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward46x$41.32—
Cheap250x$40.07-3%
Current258x$41.32—
Fair314x$50.16+21%
Expensive385x$61.52+49%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IOT's PE is 258x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over IOT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

IOT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

IOT has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

IOT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$64.21
Downside-33%$27.54

Calculated from the latest close: $41.32 on Nov 12.

IOT trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IOT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

IOT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.54Q2 2024: $-0.51Q3 2024: $-0.49Q4 2024: $-0.48Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.02Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.90
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.54Q2 2024: $-0.51Q3 2024: $-0.49Q4 2024: $-0.48Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.02Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.90+460%
Q3 2026$0.16+$0.32
Q2 2026$0.10+$0.32
Q1 2026-$0.02+$0.26
Q4 2025-$0.08+$0.40
Q3 2025-$0.16+$0.33
Q2 2025-$0.22+$0.29
Q1 2025-$0.28+$0.26
Q4 2024-$0.48-$0.06

IOT has returned to profit: it earned $0.16 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over IOT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IOT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $238MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $300MQ4 2024: $322MQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $367MQ3 2025: $391MQ4 2025: $416MQ1 2026: $444MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $508M
Q4 2023: $238MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $300MQ4 2024: $322MQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $367MQ3 2025: $391MQ4 2025: $416MQ1 2026: $444MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $508M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$508.4M+30%
Q2 2026$478.8M+31%
Q1 2026$444.3M+28%
Q4 2025$416M+29%
Q3 2025$391.5M+30%
Q2 2025$366.9M+31%
Q1 2025$346.3M+25%
Q4 2024$322M+36%

IOT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2022: $508M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over IOT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

IOT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$64.7M+46%
Q2 2026$73.2M+60%
Q1 2026$61.7M+27%
Q4 2025$55.8M+79%
Q3 2025$44.2M+237%
Q2 2025$45.7M+146%
Q1 2025$48.5M+$92.5M
Q4 2024$31.2M+266%

IOT has the edge over NVDA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $127B over the past year, up 76% from the year before.

IOT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 537MQ1 2024: 535MQ2 2024: 549MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 559MQ1 2025: 556MQ2 2025: 568MQ3 2025: 572MQ4 2025: 586MQ1 2026: 573MQ2 2026: 588MQ3 2026: 590M
Q4 2023: 537MQ1 2024: 535MQ2 2024: 549MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 559MQ1 2025: 556MQ2 2025: 568MQ3 2025: 572MQ4 2025: 586MQ1 2026: 573MQ2 2026: 588MQ3 2026: 590M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+2.8M shares
1 year+3.3%+18.7M shares
3 years+11%+58.7M shares
5 years+17%+87.5M shares

IOT has 590M diluted shares, up 3.3% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over IOT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IOT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -14.9xQ3 2026: -5.9x
Q2 2026: -14.9xQ3 2026: -5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-14.9xNet Cash

IOT has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

IOT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.4Neutral
Stochastic59.4Neutral

IOT's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

IOT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIOTSector medianRelative
PE258x28x827% above
PE %304717 pts below

IOT is trading at 258x earnings, a 827% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over IOT on valuation relative to its sector.

IOT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$41.20.3% above
20 week MA$39.54.5% above
50 week MA$35.217% above
100 week MA$38.28.3% above
200 week MA$34.918% above

IOT has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

IOT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$22.3$27.6+24%
2022$27.6$12.3-56%
2023$12.3$33.4+172%
2024$33.4$44.4+33%
2025$44.4$36.5-18%
2026 YTD$36.5$41.3+13%

IOT has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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