IONQ

IonQ, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score IONQ yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

IONQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Weak
Unavailable

IONQ's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

IONQ PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Current33x$30.86—
Cheap86x$80.61+161%
Fair126x$119+285%
Expensive147x$138+349%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IONQ has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

IONQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect IONQ's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

IONQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $30.86 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IONQ and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare IONQ and MS's risk to reward.

IONQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.78Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-1.56Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-5.37Q4 2025: $-1.82Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $-3.99Q3 2026: $0.94
Q4 2023: $-0.78Q1 2024: $-0.83Q2 2024: $-0.79Q3 2024: $-0.81Q4 2024: $-1.56Q1 2025: $-1.51Q2 2025: $-2.03Q3 2025: $-5.37Q4 2025: $-1.82Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $-3.99Q3 2026: $0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.94+$6.31
Q2 2026-$3.99-$1.96
Q1 2026$0.39+$1.90
Q4 2025-$1.82-$0.26
Q3 2025-$5.37-$4.56
Q2 2025-$2.03-$1.24
Q1 2025-$1.51-$0.68
Q4 2024-$1.56-$0.78

IONQ has returned to profit: it earned $0.94 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over IONQ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IONQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $174M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $40MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $80MQ3 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$173.8M+336%
Q2 2026$80.1M+287%
Q1 2026$64.7M+755%
Q4 2025$61.9M+429%
Q3 2025$39.9M+222%
Q2 2025$20.7M+82%
Q1 2025$7.6M-0.2%
Q4 2024$11.7M+92%

IONQ's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $174M last quarter, up 336% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

IONQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: −$34MQ3 2024: −$23MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: −$35MQ2 2025: −$54MQ3 2025: −$127MQ4 2025: −$83MQ1 2026: −$159MQ2 2026: −$114MQ3 2026: −$332M
Q4 2023: −$34MQ1 2024: −$24MQ2 2024: −$34MQ3 2024: −$23MQ4 2024: −$43MQ1 2025: −$35MQ2 2025: −$54MQ3 2025: −$127MQ4 2025: −$83MQ1 2026: −$159MQ2 2026: −$114MQ3 2026: −$332M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$331.9M-$204.7M
Q2 2026-$114M-$60.2M
Q1 2026-$159.4M-$124.1M
Q4 2025-$83.3M-$40.3M
Q3 2025-$127.2M-$104.2M
Q2 2025-$53.8M-$19.7M
Q1 2025-$35.3M-$11.7M
Q4 2024-$43M-$9.2M

IONQ has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$689M over the past year, against −$259M the year before.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS has the edge over IONQ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IONQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 371MQ2 2026: 368MQ3 2026: 401M
Q4 2023: 203MQ1 2024: 208MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 213MQ1 2025: 229MQ2 2025: 251MQ3 2025: 295MQ1 2026: 371MQ2 2026: 368MQ3 2026: 401M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9%+33.2M shares
1 year+60%+150M shares
3 years+99%+199M shares
5 years+108%+208M shares

IONQ has 401M diluted shares, up 60% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over IONQ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

IONQ Net Leverage

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

IONQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic22.3Neutral

IONQ's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

IONQ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIONQSector medianRelative
PE33x28x18% above

IONQ is trading at 33x earnings, a 18% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over IONQ on valuation relative to its sector.

IONQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$35.713% below
20 week MA$38.620% below
50 week MA$42.427% below
100 week MA$42.227% below
200 week MA$26.815% above

IONQ has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 15% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over IONQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IONQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$11.0$17.9+62%
2022$17.9$3.30-82%
2023$3.30$12.4+275%
2024$12.4$45.5+267%
2025$45.5$46.0+1.1%
2026 YTD$46.0$30.9-33%

IONQ's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −82% in 2022. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over IONQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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