INVA

Innoviva, Inc.

40
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

INVA offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over INVA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

INVA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

INVA's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

INVA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x54x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x54x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.1x$11.47-40%
Fair6.8x$15.21-20%
Current8.5x$18.97—
Forward9.3x$18.97—
Expensive20x$44.09+132%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

INVA's PE is in its expensive range at 8.5x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.3x.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over INVA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

INVA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INVA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INVA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$22.39
Downside-15%$16.14

Calculated from the latest close: $18.97 on Nov 12.

INVA trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INVA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

INVA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.24Q2 2024: $1.67Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.36Q1 2025: $-0.84Q2 2025: $0.48Q3 2025: $1.54Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $6.26Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $2.24Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.24Q2 2024: $1.67Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.36Q1 2025: $-0.84Q2 2025: $0.48Q3 2025: $1.54Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $6.26Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $2.24Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03-9.4%
Q3 2026$2.24+45%
Q2 2026$4.35+806%
Q1 2026$6.26+$7.10
Q4 2025$3.30+817%
Q3 2025$1.54+117%
Q2 2025$0.48-71%
Q1 2025-$0.84-138%
Q4 2024$0.36-84%

INVA has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

INVA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$114.6M+25%
Q4 2024$91.8M+7%
Q4 2023$85.8M+30%
Q3 2021$97.9M+10%
Q2 2021$100.8M+28%
Q1 2021$85.5M+8.7%
Q4 2020$90.5M+19%

INVA has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 17% for INVA versus down 0.4% for UNH.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

INVA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$51.5M+17%
Q1 2026$34.8M-28%
Q4 2025$54.5M-8%
Q2 2025$44.1M+0.8%
Q1 2025$48.6M+31%
Q4 2024$59.2M+79%
Q3 2024$48.4M+11%
Q2 2024$43.7M+14%

UNH has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 5.2% versus its history, compared with INVA at down 21%.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

INVA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 72M
Q1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-1.4M shares
1 year-15%-12.9M shares
3 years+10%+6.6M shares
5 years-37%-41.5M shares

INVA has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

INVA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20220.4xVery low
Q2 20220.7xVery low
Q1 20220.8xVery low
Q4 20210.5xVery low
Q3 20210.7xVery low
Q2 20211.0xVery low
Q1 20210.3xVery low
Q4 20200.4xVery low

INVA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

INVA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.1Neutral
Stochastic22.2Neutral

INVA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

INVA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricINVASector medianRelative
PE8.5x26x67% below
PE %682939 pts above

INVA has the edge over UNH on valuation relative to its sector.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

INVA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.47% below
20 week MA$20.99.4% below
50 week MA$21.512% below
100 week MA$20.26.1% below
200 week MA$17.67.5% above

INVA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 7.5% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over INVA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INVA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.3$12.3-13%
2021$12.3$17.6+43%
2022$17.6$13.2-25%
2023$13.2$16.0+21%
2024$16.0$17.6+9.4%
2025$17.6$19.8+13%
2026 YTD$19.8$19.0-4.2%

INVA has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 4.2% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over INVA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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