INVA

Innoviva, Inc.

40
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

INVA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over INVA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

INVA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
Unavailable
Strong

INVA's profitability and balance sheet are currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INVA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x54x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x27x41x54x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.1x$11.47-40%
Fair6.8x$15.21-20%
Current8.5x$18.97—
Forward9.3x$18.97—
Expensive20x$44.09+132%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

INVA has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INVA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INVA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over INVA on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

INVA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$22.39
Downside-15%$16.14

Calculated from the latest close: $18.97 on Nov 12.

INVA trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INVA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INVA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.24Q2 2024: $1.67Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.36Q1 2025: $-0.84Q2 2025: $0.48Q3 2025: $1.54Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $6.26Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $2.24Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $2.20Q1 2024: $2.24Q2 2024: $1.67Q3 2024: $0.71Q4 2024: $0.36Q1 2025: $-0.84Q2 2025: $0.48Q3 2025: $1.54Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $6.26Q2 2026: $4.35Q3 2026: $2.24Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03-9.4%
Q3 2026$2.24+45%
Q2 2026$4.35+806%
Q1 2026$6.26+$7.10
Q4 2025$3.30+817%
Q3 2025$1.54+117%
Q2 2025$0.48-71%
Q1 2025-$0.84-138%
Q4 2024$0.36-84%

INVA earned $2.24 per share over the past year, up 45% from the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over INVA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INVA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: $115MQ1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$114.6M+25%
Q4 2024$91.8M+7%
Q4 2023$85.8M+30%
Q3 2021$97.9M+10%
Q2 2021$100.8M+28%
Q1 2021$85.5M+8.7%
Q4 2020$90.5M+19%

LLY has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 17% for INVA versus up 39% for LLY.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

INVA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $37MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $48MQ4 2024: $59MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$51.5M+17%
Q1 2026$34.8M-28%
Q4 2025$54.5M-8%
Q2 2025$44.1M+0.8%
Q1 2025$48.6M+31%
Q4 2024$59.2M+79%
Q3 2024$48.4M+11%
Q2 2024$43.7M+14%

LLY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 259% versus its history, compared with INVA at down 21%.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

INVA Total Shares

Q1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 72M
Q1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 85MQ1 2026: 85MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-1.4M shares
1 year-15%-12.9M shares
3 years+10%+6.6M shares
5 years-37%-41.5M shares

INVA has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

INVA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20220.4xVery low
Q2 20220.7xVery low
Q1 20220.8xVery low
Q4 20210.5xVery low
Q3 20210.7xVery low
Q2 20211.0xVery low
Q1 20210.3xVery low
Q4 20200.4xVery low

INVA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

INVA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.1Neutral
Stochastic22.2Neutral

INVA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

INVA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricINVASector medianRelative
PE8.5x26x67% below
PE %682939 pts above

INVA has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

INVA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.47% below
20 week MA$20.99.4% below
50 week MA$21.512% below
100 week MA$20.26.1% below
200 week MA$17.67.5% above

INVA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 7.5% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over INVA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INVA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.3$12.3-13%
2021$12.3$17.6+43%
2022$17.6$13.2-25%
2023$13.2$16.0+21%
2024$16.0$17.6+9.4%
2025$17.6$19.8+13%
2026 YTD$19.8$19.0-4.2%

INVA has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 4.2% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over INVA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key