INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has a slight edge over XYZ overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

XYZ

Block, Inc.

65
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

XYZ has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

XYZ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

XYZ's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XYZ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1100x2199x3299x4398x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1100x2199x3299x4398x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$12.08-85%
Forward16x$82.26—
Fair93x$69.03-16%
Current111x$82.26—
Expensive316x$233+184%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

XYZ's PE is in its fair range at 111x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

XYZ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for XYZ, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails XYZ on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

XYZ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$126.97
Downside-19%$66.99

Calculated from the latest close: $82.26 on Nov 12.

XYZ has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

XYZ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.02Q1 2024: $0.79Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.80Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $4.12Q2 2025: $4.68Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $2.10Q1 2026: $1.28Q2 2026: $0.56Q3 2026: $0.74Forward: $5.04
Q4 2023: $0.02Q1 2024: $0.79Q2 2024: $1.30Q3 2024: $1.80Q4 2024: $4.56Q1 2025: $4.12Q2 2025: $4.68Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $2.10Q1 2026: $1.28Q2 2026: $0.56Q3 2026: $0.74Forward: $5.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.04+581%
Q3 2026$0.74-85%
Q2 2026$0.56-88%
Q1 2026$1.28-69%
Q4 2025$2.10-54%
Q3 2025$4.97+176%
Q2 2025$4.68+260%
Q1 2025$4.12+422%
Q4 2024$4.56+22700%

XYZ has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

XYZ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6.2BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $6BQ1 2025: $5.8BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.1BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $6.1BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.7B
Q4 2023: $5.8BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6.2BQ3 2024: $6BQ4 2024: $6BQ1 2025: $5.8BQ2 2025: $6.1BQ3 2025: $6.1BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $6.1BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $6.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$6.7B+9.9%
Q2 2026$6.6B+9.3%
Q1 2026$6.1B+4.9%
Q4 2025$6.3B+3.6%
Q3 2025$6.1B+2.3%
Q2 2025$6.1B-1.6%
Q1 2025$5.8B-3.1%
Q4 2024$6B+4.5%

XYZ has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over XYZ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XYZ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$850MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $481MQ3 2024: $628MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $101MQ2 2025: $343MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $580MQ1 2026: $935MQ2 2026: $967MQ3 2026: $972M
Q4 2023: −$850MQ1 2024: $457MQ2 2024: $481MQ3 2024: $628MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: $101MQ2 2025: $343MQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $580MQ1 2026: $935MQ2 2026: $967MQ3 2026: $972M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$972M-31%
Q2 2026$966.6M+182%
Q1 2026$935M+822%
Q4 2025$579.8M+$593M
Q3 2025$1.4B+123%
Q2 2025$343M-29%
Q1 2025$101.5M-78%
Q4 2024-$13.2M+$836.4M

XYZ generated $3.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 89% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

XYZ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 614MQ1 2024: 637MQ2 2024: 634MQ3 2024: 633MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 619MQ3 2025: 622MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 598MQ2 2026: 609MQ3 2026: 615M
Q4 2023: 614MQ1 2024: 637MQ2 2024: 634MQ3 2024: 633MQ4 2024: 636MQ1 2025: 635MQ2 2025: 619MQ3 2025: 622MQ4 2025: 623MQ1 2026: 598MQ2 2026: 609MQ3 2026: 615M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+5.9M shares
1 year-1.1%-6.9M shares
3 years+0.6%+3.5M shares
5 years+22%+111M shares
Available history+32%+149M shares

XYZ has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

XYZ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -31.9xQ1 2024: -4.2xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -5.3xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: -31.9xQ1 2024: -4.2xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -5.3xQ1 2025: -1.5xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -2.7xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 2025-2.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.3xNet Cash

XYZ has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

XYZ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.3Neutral
Stochastic55.5Neutral

XYZ's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

XYZ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricXYZSector medianRelative
PE111x28x299% above
PE %523517 pts above

XYZ is trading at 111x earnings, a 299% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

XYZ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.35.1% above
20 week MA$79.33.7% above
50 week MA$71.016% above
100 week MA$70.616% above
200 week MA$69.119% above

XYZ has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over XYZ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XYZ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.8$228.3+258%
2021$228.3$167.7-27%
2022$167.7$60.9-64%
2023$60.9$77.4+27%
2024$77.4$89.0+15%
2025$89.0$66.3-26%
2026 YTD$66.3$82.3+24%

XYZ's yearly returns have swung widely, from +258% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's up 24% so far in 2026.

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