INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

WDC

Western Digital Corporation

80
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

WDC has the edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

WDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

WDC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x69x103x138x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x69x103x138x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$255-18%
Forward11x$311—
Current12x$311—
Fair19x$487+56%
Expensive63x$1,618+420%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WDC's PE is in its cheap range at 12x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for WDC, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails WDC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

WDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+129%$712.82
Downside-18%$254.36

Calculated from the latest close: $311.21 on Nov 12.

WDC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

WDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.22Q1 2024: $-5.06Q2 2024: $-2.61Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $3.47Q1 2025: $4.55Q2 2025: $5.15Q4 2025: $6.87Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $16.75Q3 2026: $24.28Q4 2026: $25.84Forward: $28.81
Q4 2023: $-7.22Q1 2024: $-5.06Q2 2024: $-2.61Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $3.47Q1 2025: $4.55Q2 2025: $5.15Q4 2025: $6.87Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $16.75Q3 2026: $24.28Q4 2026: $25.84Forward: $28.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$28.81+12%
Q3 2026$25.84+276%
Q2 2026$24.28+371%
Q1 2026$16.75+268%
Q4 2025$9.97+187%
Q3 2025$6.87+655%
Q2 2025$5.15+$7.76
Q1 2025$4.55+$9.61
Q4 2024$3.47+$10.69

WDC has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

WDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.7BQ4 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.7BQ4 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B+55%
Q2 2026$3.7B+44%
Q1 2026$3.3B+45%
Q4 2025$3B-30%
Q3 2025$2.8B-31%
Q2 2025$2.6B-31%
Q1 2025$2.3B-34%
Q4 2024$4.3B+41%

WDC's revenue is growing: $4.4B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.

WDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$242MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $250MQ3 2024: −$62MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $978MQ3 2026: $1.3BQ4 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: −$242MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $250MQ3 2024: −$62MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $978MQ3 2026: $1.3BQ4 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+130%
Q2 2026$1.3B+90%
Q1 2026$978M+158%
Q4 2025$653M+128%
Q3 2025$599M+$661M
Q2 2025$675M+170%
Q1 2025$379M+$418M
Q4 2024$287M+$529M

WDC has the edge over INTC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

WDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 325MQ1 2024: 335MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 357MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 358MQ2 2025: 359MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 381MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 383MQ4 2026: 384M
Q4 2023: 325MQ1 2024: 335MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 357MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 358MQ2 2025: 359MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 381MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 383MQ4 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+1M shares
1 year+2.1%+8M shares
3 years+19%+61M shares
5 years+22%+68M shares
Available history+29%+86M shares

WDC has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

WDC Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 22.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1xQ4 2026: -0.1x
Q2 2024: 22.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1xQ4 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

WDC has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

WDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic11.2Oversold

WDC's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

WDC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWDCSector medianRelative
PE12x28x57% below
PE %28357 pts below

WDC is trading at 12x earnings, a 57% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

WDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$360.814% below
20 week MA$438.429% below
50 week MA$380.418% below
100 week MA$226.837% above
200 week MA$133.7133% above

WDC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 133% above its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC is up 69% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

WDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.0$37.7-20%
2021$37.7$46.2+23%
2022$46.2$23.1-50%
2023$23.1$39.6+71%
2024$39.6$45.9+16%
2025$45.9$181.5+296%
2026 YTD$181.5$311.2+71%

WDC has the edge over INTC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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