INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

VIAV

Viavi Solutions Inc.

73
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

VIAV has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

VIAV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Strong

VIAV's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIAV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE264x527x791x1055x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE264x527x791x1055x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap54x$14.03-57%
Fair93x$24.16-26%
Current125x$32.54—
Expensive377x$98.00+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VIAV's PE is in its fair range at 125x.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VIAV Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for VIAV to show an outlook.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails VIAV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VIAV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$48.18
Downside-21%$25.76

Calculated from the latest close: $32.54 on Nov 12.

VIAV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

VIAV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.02Q1 2024: $-0.02Q2 2024: $-0.12Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-0.18Q1 2025: $0.02Q2 2025: $0.15Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $-0.19Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.13Q4 2026: $0.26
Q4 2023: $0.02Q1 2024: $-0.02Q2 2024: $-0.12Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-0.18Q1 2025: $0.02Q2 2025: $0.15Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $-0.19Q1 2026: $-0.25Q2 2026: $-0.13Q4 2026: $0.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.26+333%
Q2 2026-$0.13-187%
Q1 2026-$0.25-1350%
Q4 2025-$0.19-$0.01
Q3 2025$0.06+$0.23
Q2 2025$0.15+$0.27
Q1 2025$0.02+$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.18-1000%

VIAV has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

VIAV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $252MQ3 2024: $238MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $291MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $443MQ4 2026: $469M
Q4 2023: $255MQ1 2024: $246MQ2 2024: $252MQ3 2024: $238MQ4 2024: $271MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $291MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: $369MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $443MQ4 2026: $469M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$469.3M+57%
Q2 2026$443.1M+53%
Q1 2026$406.8M+43%
Q4 2025$369.3M+36%
Q3 2025$299.1M+26%
Q2 2025$290.5M+15%
Q1 2025$284.8M+16%
Q4 2024$270.8M+6.4%

VIAV has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over VIAV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VIAV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: −$32MQ2 2026: $56MQ4 2026: $93M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: −$32MQ2 2026: $56MQ4 2026: $93M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$92.7M+312%
Q2 2026$55.6M+204%
Q1 2026-$32.2M-3320%
Q4 2025$36.9M+1.1%
Q3 2025$22.5M+263%
Q2 2025$18.3M-18%
Q1 2025$1M-94%
Q4 2024$36.5M+150%

VIAV generated $153M in free cash flow over the past year, up 95% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has the edge over VIAV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VIAV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 224MQ1 2024: 223MQ2 2024: 223MQ3 2024: 222MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 223MQ4 2025: 224MQ1 2026: 250MQ2 2026: 230MQ4 2026: 266M
Q4 2023: 224MQ1 2024: 223MQ2 2024: 223MQ3 2024: 222MQ4 2024: 225MQ1 2025: 227MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 223MQ4 2025: 224MQ1 2026: 250MQ2 2026: 230MQ4 2026: 266M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+16%+36.7M shares
1 year+19%+43.3M shares
3 years+19%+42M shares
5 years+15%+35.1M shares
Available history+12%+27.9M shares

VIAV has 266M diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago, despite $150M in buybacks over the past year.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

VIAV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: -7.2xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ4 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: -7.2xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -1.8xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 5.0xQ1 2026: 2.9xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ4 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 20262.9xModerate
Q4 20255.0xHigh
Q3 20251.0xVery low
Q2 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20242.5xModerate

VIAV has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

VIAV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.1Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

VIAV's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VIAV PE vs Technology Sector

MetricVIAVSector medianRelative
PE125x28x349% above
PE %583523 pts above

VIAV is trading at 125x earnings, a 349% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

VIAV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.09.6% below
20 week MA$37.714% below
50 week MA$35.68.6% below
100 week MA$23.538% above
200 week MA$16.498% above

VIAV has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 98% above its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC is up 69% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

VIAV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.1$14.7-2.8%
2021$14.7$17.1+16%
2022$17.1$10.3-40%
2023$10.3$10.1-1.8%
2024$10.1$10.2+1.1%
2025$10.2$18.2+79%
2026 YTD$18.2$32.5+79%

VIAV has the edge over INTC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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