INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over TUYA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

TUYA

Tuya Inc.

62
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

TUYA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

TUYA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

TUYA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TUYA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x142x213x284x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x142x213x284x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current12x$1.61—
Cheap18x$2.46+53%
Fair28x$3.86+140%
Expensive74x$10.36+543%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TUYA's PE is in its cheap range at 12x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TUYA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TUYA to show an outlook.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TUYA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TUYA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$2.33
Downside-29%$1.14

Calculated from the latest close: $1.61 on Nov 12.

TUYA trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TUYA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.13Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $-0.08Q2 2024: $-0.03Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $0.01Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.05Q3 2025: $0.08Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.10Q2 2026: $0.14
Q3 2023: $-0.13Q4 2023: $-0.11Q1 2024: $-0.08Q2 2024: $-0.03Q3 2024: $-0.03Q4 2024: $0.01Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.05Q3 2025: $0.08Q4 2025: $0.09Q1 2026: $0.10Q2 2026: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.14+180%
Q1 2026$0.10+233%
Q4 2025$0.09+800%
Q3 2025$0.08+$0.11
Q2 2025$0.05+$0.08
Q1 2025$0.03+$0.11
Q4 2024$0.01+$0.12
Q3 2024-$0.03+$0.10

TUYA has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

TUYA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $61MQ4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $174M
Q3 2023: $61MQ4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $82MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $75MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $83MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $81MQ2 2026: $174M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$173.8M+117%
Q1 2026$81.1M+8.6%
Q4 2025$84.9M+3.4%
Q3 2025$82.6M+1.2%
Q2 2025$80.1M+9.3%
Q1 2025$74.7M+21%
Q4 2024$82.1M+27%
Q3 2024$81.6M+34%

TUYA has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over TUYA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TUYA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $16MQ4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6M
Q3 2023: $16MQ4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.2M+$6.2M
Q1 2026$6.4M+$6.4M
Q4 2025$16.4M+$16.4M
Q3 2025$30M+$30M
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0-100%
Q3 2024$0-100%

TUYA generated $59M in free cash flow over the past year, against $0 the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

TUYA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 556MQ4 2023: 557MQ1 2024: 559MQ2 2024: 593MQ3 2024: 570MQ4 2024: 590MQ1 2025: 608MQ2 2025: 610MQ3 2025: 614MQ4 2025: 616MQ1 2026: 616MQ2 2026: 616M
Q3 2023: 556MQ4 2023: 557MQ1 2024: 559MQ2 2024: 593MQ3 2024: 570MQ4 2024: 590MQ1 2025: 608MQ2 2025: 610MQ3 2025: 614MQ4 2025: 616MQ1 2026: 616MQ2 2026: 616M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+1%+5.8M shares
3 years+11%+61.4M shares
5 years+9.9%+55.4M shares
Available history+11%+60.6M shares

TUYA has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

TUYA Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -13.6xQ1 2026: -13.0xQ2 2026: -9.4x
Q4 2025: -13.6xQ1 2026: -13.0xQ2 2026: -9.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-9.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-13.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-13.6xNet Cash

TUYA has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

TUYA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic12.0Oversold

TUYA's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TUYA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTUYASector medianRelative
PE12x28x58% below
PE %14140 pts below

TUYA is trading at 12x earnings, a 58% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over TUYA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TUYA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.652.4% below
20 week MA$1.736.9% below
50 week MA$2.0321% below
100 week MA$2.2729% below
200 week MA$2.0421% below

TUYA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over TUYA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TUYA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$25.1$6.40-75%
2022$6.40$1.79-72%
2023$1.79$2.30+28%
2024$2.30$1.78-23%
2025$1.78$2.21+24%
2026 YTD$2.21$1.61-27%

TUYA has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

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