INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TLS

Telos Corporation

70
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

TLS has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

TLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Strong

TLS's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TLS PE Valuation

TLS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TLS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TLS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TLS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$11.18
Downside-30%$5.38

Calculated from the latest close: $7.72 on Nov 12.

TLS trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.43Q3 2024: $-0.70Q4 2024: $-0.73Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.77Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.21Q3 2026: $-0.12Forward: $0.28
Q4 2023: $-0.50Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.43Q3 2024: $-0.70Q4 2024: $-0.73Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.77Q3 2025: $-0.41Q4 2025: $-0.50Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.21Q3 2026: $-0.12Forward: $0.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.28—
Q3 2026-$0.12+$0.29
Q2 2026-$0.21+$0.56
Q1 2026-$0.35+$0.40
Q4 2025-$0.50+$0.23
Q3 2025-$0.41+$0.29
Q2 2025-$0.77-$0.34
Q1 2025-$0.75-$0.31
Q4 2024-$0.73-$0.23

TLS has the edge over INTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

TLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $55M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $26MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $51MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: $48MQ3 2026: $55M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$55.2M+7.3%
Q2 2026$47.7M+33%
Q1 2026$47.7M+56%
Q4 2025$46.8M+77%
Q3 2025$51.4M+116%
Q2 2025$36M+26%
Q1 2025$30.6M+3.4%
Q4 2024$26.4M-36%

TLS has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.

TLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$447,000Q2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$447,000Q2 2024: −$8MQ3 2024: −$7MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $9MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.4M+7.6%
Q2 2026$8.6M+26%
Q1 2026$8.5M+42%
Q4 2025$8M+$20.3M
Q3 2025$8.7M+$15.8M
Q2 2025$6.8M+$15M
Q1 2025$6M+$6.4M
Q4 2024-$12.4M-383%

TLS generated $34M in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

TLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 71MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 78MQ2 2026: 78MQ3 2026: 76M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 71MQ2 2024: 72MQ3 2024: 72MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 73MQ4 2025: 73MQ1 2026: 78MQ2 2026: 78MQ3 2026: 76M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-1.1M shares
1 year+5.4%+3.9M shares
3 years+10%+6.9M shares
5 years+15%+9.7M shares
Available history+56%+27.4M shares

TLS has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

TLS Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -50.6x
Q3 2026: -50.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-50.6xNet Cash
Q4 2020-18.7xNet Cash
Q3 202010.3xHigh
Q2 202010.0xHigh
Q1 202013.8xHigh
Q4 201916.8xHigh

TLS has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

TLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.2Overbought
Stochastic72.5Neutral

TLS's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TLS PE vs Technology Sector

TLS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

TLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.9656% above
20 week MA$4.7363% above
50 week MA$4.7064% above
100 week MA$4.3577% above
200 week MA$3.85101% above

TLS has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over TLS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.1$30.2+58%
2021$30.2$16.2-46%
2022$16.2$4.87-70%
2023$4.87$3.65-25%
2024$3.65$3.40-6.8%
2025$3.40$5.18+52%
2026 YTD$5.18$7.72+49%

TLS is up 49% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in four of the previous six years.

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