INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TEL

TE Connectivity Ltd.

71
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

TEL has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

TEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

TEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TEL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE102x204x306x408x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE102x204x306x408x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$163-25%
Forward16x$218—
Fair20x$224+2.7%
Current20x$218—
Expensive38x$418+92%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TEL's PE is in its fair range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TEL, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails TEL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$280.51
Downside-11%$193.63

Calculated from the latest close: $217.82 on Nov 12.

TEL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.55Q1 2024: $10.94Q2 2024: $11.13Q3 2024: $10.33Q4 2024: $6.32Q1 2025: $4.61Q2 2025: $4.89Q3 2025: $6.16Q4 2025: $6.94Q1 2026: $9.80Q2 2026: $10.21Q3 2026: $11.06Forward: $13.67
Q4 2023: $10.55Q1 2024: $10.94Q2 2024: $11.13Q3 2024: $10.33Q4 2024: $6.32Q1 2025: $4.61Q2 2025: $4.89Q3 2025: $6.16Q4 2025: $6.94Q1 2026: $9.80Q2 2026: $10.21Q3 2026: $11.06Forward: $13.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.67+24%
Q3 2026$11.06+80%
Q2 2026$10.21+109%
Q1 2026$9.80+113%
Q4 2025$6.94+9.8%
Q3 2025$6.16-40%
Q2 2025$4.89-56%
Q1 2025$4.61-58%
Q4 2024$6.32-40%

TEL has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

TEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $4.7BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $5.3B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $4BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $4.7BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $4.7BQ2 2026: $5.2BQ3 2026: $5.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.3B+12%
Q2 2026$5.2B+14%
Q1 2026$4.7B+15%
Q4 2025$4.7B+22%
Q3 2025$4.7B+17%
Q2 2025$4.5B+14%
Q1 2025$4.1B+4.4%
Q4 2024$3.8B+0.1%

TEL has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over TEL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $568MQ1 2024: $543MQ2 2024: $857MQ3 2024: $829MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $423MQ2 2025: $957MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $607MQ1 2026: $677MQ2 2026: $881MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $568MQ1 2024: $543MQ2 2024: $857MQ3 2024: $829MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $423MQ2 2025: $957MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $607MQ1 2026: $677MQ2 2026: $881MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+7.7%
Q2 2026$881M-7.9%
Q1 2026$677M+60%
Q4 2025$607M-9.8%
Q3 2025$1.2B+39%
Q2 2025$957M+12%
Q1 2025$423M-22%
Q4 2024$673M+18%

TEL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $3.4B over the past year, up 6.2% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

TEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 313MQ1 2024: 310MQ2 2024: 308MQ3 2024: 309MQ4 2024: 301MQ1 2025: 300MQ2 2025: 298MQ3 2025: 299MQ4 2025: 297MQ1 2026: 295MQ2 2026: 293MQ3 2026: 294M
Q4 2023: 313MQ1 2024: 310MQ2 2024: 308MQ3 2024: 309MQ4 2024: 301MQ1 2025: 300MQ2 2025: 298MQ3 2025: 299MQ4 2025: 297MQ1 2026: 295MQ2 2026: 293MQ3 2026: 294M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+1M shares
1 year-1.7%-5M shares
3 years-7.3%-23M shares
5 years-12%-39M shares
Available history-13%-43M shares

TEL has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

TEL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 0.9xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.8xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.9xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

TEL has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

TEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.9Neutral
Stochastic43.4Neutral

TEL's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TEL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTELSector medianRelative
PE20x28x29% below
PE %463511 pts above

TEL is trading at 20x earnings, a 29% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

TEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$214.51.6% above
20 week MA$209.54% above
50 week MA$215.31.2% above
100 week MA$196.211% above
200 week MA$167.130% above

TEL has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over TEL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$95.5$119.8+25%
2021$119.8$158.5+32%
2022$158.5$114.0-28%
2023$114.0$140.5+23%
2024$140.5$145.0+3.2%
2025$145.0$232.5+60%
2026 YTD$232.5$217.8-6.3%

TEL has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 6.3% so far in 2026.

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