INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over SVCO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SVCO

Silvaco Group, Inc. Common Stock

60
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

SVCO offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

SVCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

SVCO's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SVCO PE Valuation

SVCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 32x next year's earnings.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SVCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SVCO to return to profit, with revenue growing.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails SVCO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SVCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+82%$13.53
Downside-44%$4.14

Calculated from the latest close: $7.45 on Nov 12.

SVCO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

SVCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.05Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $-1.54Q3 2024: $-1.74Q4 2024: $-1.53Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-1.04Q3 2025: $-0.99Q4 2025: $-1.39Q1 2026: $-0.91Q2 2026: $-0.70Q3 2026: $-0.66Forward: $0.23
Q4 2023: $-0.05Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $-1.54Q3 2024: $-1.74Q4 2024: $-1.53Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-1.04Q3 2025: $-0.99Q4 2025: $-1.39Q1 2026: $-0.91Q2 2026: $-0.70Q3 2026: $-0.66Forward: $0.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.23—
Q3 2026-$0.66+$0.33
Q2 2026-$0.70+$0.34
Q1 2026-$0.91+$1.36
Q4 2025-$1.39+$0.14
Q3 2025-$0.99+$0.75
Q2 2025-$1.04+$0.50
Q1 2025-$2.27-$2.26
Q4 2024-$1.53-$1.48

SVCO has the edge over INTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

SVCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $16MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.3M-13%
Q2 2026$17.8M+48%
Q1 2026$17.8M+26%
Q4 2025$18.3M+2.2%
Q3 2025$18.7M+70%
Q2 2025$12M-19%
Q1 2025$14.1M-11%
Q4 2024$17.9M+30%

SVCO has the edge over INTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over SVCO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SVCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $725,000Q1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: −$781,000
Q4 2023: $725,000Q1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$16MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$6MQ3 2026: −$781,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$781K+$7.4M
Q2 2026-$5.5M+$10.1M
Q1 2026-$11M-$9.8M
Q4 2025-$9.5M-$246K
Q3 2025-$8.2M-$6M
Q2 2025-$15.6M-$9.3M
Q1 2025-$1.2M+$1.4M
Q4 2024-$9.3M-1378%

SVCO has burned cash in most quarters: −$27M over the past year, against −$34M the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

SVCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 34M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 25MQ3 2024: 29MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 29MQ2 2025: 29MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 34M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+946K shares
1 year+12%+3.7M shares
3 years+70%+14M shares

SVCO has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

SVCO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.4xNet Cash

SVCO has more cash than debt.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

SVCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.2Neutral
Stochastic28.5Neutral

SVCO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SVCO PE vs Technology Sector

SVCO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

SVCO has stronger trend alignment. INTC is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus SVCO above 3 of 4.

SVCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.311.9% above
20 week MA$7.622.2% below
50 week MA$7.233% above
100 week MA$6.3917% above

SVCO's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 100-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC is up 69% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

SVCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$18.9$8.11-57%
2025$8.11$4.25-48%
2026 YTD$4.25$7.45+75%

SVCO has the edge over INTC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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