INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has the edge over STEM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
STEM
Stem, Inc.
STEM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
STEM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
STEM's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STEM PE Valuation
STEM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
STEM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect STEM's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
STEM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$8.19 | +$21.40 |
| Q1 2026 | -$8.40 | +$91.20 |
| Q4 2025 | -$9.18 | +$96.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$14.23 | +$89.81 |
| Q2 2025 | -$29.59 | +$66.05 |
| Q1 2025 | -$99.60 | -$70.56 |
| Q4 2024 | -$105.80 | -$80.16 |
| Q3 2024 | -$104.04 | -$78.64 |
STEM has the edge over INTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC has the edge over STEM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over STEM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
STEM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $33.7M | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $29M | -11% |
| Q4 2025 | $47.1M | -16% |
| Q3 2025 | $38.2M | +31% |
| Q2 2025 | $38.4M | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.5M | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $55.8M | -67% |
| Q3 2024 | $29.3M | -78% |
STEM's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $34M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -23% | +12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -49% | +16 points |
| Q4 2025 | -18% | +67 points |
| Q3 2025 | -34% | +460 points |
| Q2 2025 | -35% | +1671 points |
| Q1 2025 | -65% | +202 points |
| Q4 2024 | -84% | -64 points |
| Q3 2024 | -493% | -442 points |
STEM's operating margin was −23% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 258% versus its history, compared with STEM at up 88%.
STEM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -$8.3M | -197% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2M | +$22.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $11.4M | +$20.9M |
| Q2 2025 | -$21.3M | -$9.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $8.5M | +$9.2M |
| Q4 2024 | -$14.7M | -$11.5M |
| Q3 2024 | -$9.5M | -$5.4M |
| Q2 2024 | -$12M | +$153.5M |
STEM has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$10M over the past year, against −$28M the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
STEM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7% | +593K shares |
| 1 year | +7.4% | +629K shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | +45% | +2.8M shares |
STEM has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
| Q4 2019 | — |
| Q3 2019 | — |
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
STEM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -24.9x | Net Cash |
STEM has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
STEM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 26.9 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 4.0 | Oversold |
STEM's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
STEM PE vs Technology Sector
STEM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has the edge over STEM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
STEM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.30 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.83 | 53% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.24 | 75% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.1 | 79% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.7 | 94% below |
STEM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 94% below its 200-week average.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over STEM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
STEM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $195.2 | $453.4 | +132% |
| 2021 | $453.4 | $395.8 | -13% |
| 2022 | $395.8 | $186.2 | -53% |
| 2023 | $186.2 | $77.6 | -58% |
| 2024 | $77.6 | $11.9 | -85% |
| 2025 | $11.9 | $16.0 | +35% |
| 2026 YTD | $16.0 | $2.29 | -86% |
STEM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +132% in 2020 to −85% in 2024. It's down 86% so far in 2026.