INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ST
Sensata Technologies Holding plc
ST has the edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
ST Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
ST's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ST PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.9x | $39.41 | — |
| Current | 16x | $39.41 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $46.39 | +18% |
| Fair | 26x | $66.46 | +69% |
| Expensive | 77x | $194 | +393% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ST's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
INTC has the edge over ST on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
ST Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ST's earnings to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
ST Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.97 | +57% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.52 | +$2.71 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.62 | -18% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.33 | -60% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.21 | -75% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.19 | +$0.33 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.76 | +1167% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.82 | +$0.91 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.85 | +$0.88 |
ST has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC has the edge over ST on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ST Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +7.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $990.6M | +5% |
| Q1 2026 | $934.8M | +2.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $917.9M | +1.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $932M | -5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $943.4M | -8.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $911.3M | -9.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $907.7M | -8.5% |
ST's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 7.7% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +31 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 15% | +1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | -13% | +7.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.1% | +28 points |
ST has the edge over INTC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.
ST Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $198.3M | +46% |
| Q2 2026 | $186.4M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $104.6M | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.9M | +9.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $136.2M | +49% |
| Q2 2025 | $115.5M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $86.6M | +35% |
| Q4 2024 | $138.9M | +145% |
ST has the edge over INTC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
ST Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +300K shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -3.5% | -5.4M shares |
| 5 years | -7.8% | -12.5M shares |
| Available history | -9.2% | -15M shares |
ST has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $25.1M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $20.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $100.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $21.6M |
ST spent $25M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 82% from the year before.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC has the edge over ST on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ST Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.4x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.0x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.6x | High |
ST's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.9 years a year ago.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
ST Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.0 | Oversold |
ST's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ST PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ST | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 28x | 44% below |
| PE % | 5 | 35 | 30 pts below |
ST is trading at 16x earnings, a 44% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
ST Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $41.0 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $43.1 | 8.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $40.9 | 3.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $34.6 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $36.8 | 7.2% above |
ST has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 7.2% above its 200-week average.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over ST on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ST Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $53.7 | $52.2 | -2.8% |
| 2021 | $52.2 | $59.8 | +15% |
| 2022 | $59.8 | $39.8 | -34% |
| 2023 | $39.8 | $37.6 | -5.5% |
| 2024 | $37.6 | $27.4 | -27% |
| 2025 | $27.4 | $33.6 | +23% |
| 2026 YTD | $33.6 | $39.4 | +17% |
ST has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.