INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over SSTI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SSTI

SoundThinking, Inc.

50
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

SSTI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

SSTI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

SSTI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SSTI PE Valuation

SSTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SSTI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SSTI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SSTI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SSTI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+53%$12.66
Downside-35%$5.39

Calculated from the latest close: $8.25 on Nov 12.

SSTI trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has the edge over SSTI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SSTI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.22Q1 2024: $-0.30Q2 2024: $-0.14Q3 2024: $-0.10Q4 2024: $-0.72Q1 2025: $-0.61Q2 2025: $-0.79Q3 2025: $-0.84Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.29Q3 2026: $-1.77
Q4 2023: $-0.22Q1 2024: $-0.30Q2 2024: $-0.14Q3 2024: $-0.10Q4 2024: $-0.72Q1 2025: $-0.61Q2 2025: $-0.79Q3 2025: $-0.84Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-1.16Q2 2026: $-1.29Q3 2026: $-1.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.77-$0.93
Q2 2026-$1.29-$0.50
Q1 2026-$1.16-$0.55
Q4 2025-$0.74-$0.02
Q3 2025-$0.84-$0.74
Q2 2025-$0.79-$0.65
Q1 2025-$0.61-$0.31
Q4 2024-$0.72-$0.50

SSTI lost $1.77 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last three quarters.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC has the edge over SSTI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SSTI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $25M
Q4 2023: $26MQ1 2024: $25MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $26MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $25M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$25M-0.4%
Q2 2026$23.9M-7.7%
Q1 2026$24.2M-15%
Q4 2025$24.8M+5.9%
Q3 2025$25.1M-4.4%
Q2 2025$25.9M-4%
Q1 2025$28.3M+12%
Q4 2024$23.4M-10%

SSTI's revenue is shrinking: $25M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over SSTI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SSTI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$387,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: −$387,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1M-35%
Q2 2026-$8.1M-$5.5M
Q1 2026-$1.5M-$474K
Q4 2025$3.7M+$5.9M
Q3 2025$4.9M-61%
Q2 2025-$2.7M-194%
Q1 2025-$1M-137%
Q4 2024-$2.2M-$1.8M

SSTI's free cash flow was −$3M over the past year, against −$1M the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

SSTI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+80.9K shares
1 year+3.3%+427K shares
3 years+5.7%+707K shares
5 years+13%+1.5M shares
Available history+11%+1.3M shares

SSTI has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

SSTI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -3.5xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ4 2025: -10.3x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -1.0xQ4 2024: -3.5xQ1 2025: -1.9xQ2 2025: -4.9xQ4 2025: -10.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-10.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 20230.1xVery low

SSTI has more cash than debt.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

SSTI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.2Neutral
Stochastic85.8Overbought

SSTI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SSTI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSSTISector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

SSTI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

SSTI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.983.4% above
20 week MA$7.5010% above
50 week MA$7.3712% above
100 week MA$10.320% below
200 week MA$15.246% below

SSTI has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over SSTI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SSTI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.3$38.5+52%
2021$38.5$30.6-20%
2022$30.6$33.3+8.6%
2023$33.3$25.5-23%
2024$25.5$12.8-50%
2025$12.8$8.05-37%
2026 YTD$8.05$8.25+2.5%

SSTI has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 2.5% so far in 2026.

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