INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has the edge over SMSI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SMSI
Smith Micro Software, Inc.
SMSI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
SMSI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
SMSI's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMSI PE Valuation
SMSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SMSI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SMSI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
SMSI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 24,000% for INTC versus SMSI down 109%.
SMSI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | -$26.40 | -$9.20 |
| Q2 2024 | -$26.90 | -$8.90 |
| Q1 2024 | -$27.20 | -$6.80 |
| Q4 2023 | -$15.20 | +$6.00 |
| Q3 2023 | -$17.20 | +$2.00 |
| Q2 2023 | -$18.00 | +$10.80 |
| Q1 2023 | -$20.40 | +$6.40 |
| Q4 2022 | -$21.20 | +$3.20 |
SMSI is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.32 per share over the past year, against $28.80 at its worst in mid-2022.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC has the edge over SMSI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over SMSI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SMSI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.3M | -1.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.2M | -8.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $4M | -20% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.3M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4M | -14% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6M | -20% |
| Q4 2024 | $5M | -42% |
SMSI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $5M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -29% | +74 points |
| Q2 2026 | -55% | +284 points |
| Q1 2026 | -80% | +33 points |
| Q4 2025 | -110% | -20 points |
| Q3 2025 | -103% | +37 points |
| Q2 2025 | -338% | -203 points |
| Q1 2025 | -113% | +430 points |
| Q4 2024 | -90% | -23 points |
SMSI's operating margin was −29% last quarter, up 74 points from the same quarter a year ago.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over SMSI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SMSI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$192K | +$2M |
| Q2 2026 | -$943K | +$1.4M |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.8M | -$3.2M |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.2M | +$2.7M |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.2M | +$1.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.3M | +$1.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$606K | +$743K |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.9M | -$3.9M |
SMSI has burned cash in most quarters: −$7M over the past year, against −$10M the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has the edge over SMSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
SMSI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.2% | +376K shares |
| 1 year | +44% | +1.7M shares |
| 3 years | +263% | +4M shares |
| 5 years | +415% | +4.5M shares |
| Available history | +435% | +4.5M shares |
SMSI has 6M diluted shares, up 44% from a year ago.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
SMSI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | -23.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2019 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
SMSI has more cash than debt.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
SMSI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.8 | Oversold |
SMSI's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SMSI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SMSI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
SMSI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has the edge over SMSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMSI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.45 | 2% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.63 | 8.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.04 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.81 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $18.6 | 87% below |
SMSI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 87% below its 200-week average.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over SMSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SMSI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $154.8 | $213.6 | +38% |
| 2021 | $213.6 | $201.6 | -5.6% |
| 2022 | $201.6 | $82.4 | -59% |
| 2023 | $82.4 | $33.1 | -60% |
| 2024 | $33.1 | $7.25 | -78% |
| 2025 | $7.25 | $2.85 | -61% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.85 | $2.40 | -16% |
SMSI has finished five years in a row lower, and it's down 16% so far in 2026.