INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SIMO

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation

72
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

SIMO has the edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

SIMO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Healthy

SIMO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SIMO PE Valuation

SIMO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SIMO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SIMO, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SIMO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SIMO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$305.32
Downside-39%$109.36

Calculated from the latest close: $179.50 on Nov 12.

SIMO trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

SIMO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.66Q4 2023: $1.59Q1 2024: $1.76Q2 2024: $2.35Q3 2024: $2.68Q4 2024: $2.72Q1 2025: $2.80Q2 2025: $3.84Q3 2025: $7.84Q4 2025: $12.84Q1 2026: $20.16Q2 2026: $34.16
Q3 2023: $1.66Q4 2023: $1.59Q1 2024: $1.76Q2 2024: $2.35Q3 2024: $2.68Q4 2024: $2.72Q1 2025: $2.80Q2 2025: $3.84Q3 2025: $7.84Q4 2025: $12.84Q1 2026: $20.16Q2 2026: $34.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$34.16+790%
Q1 2026$20.16+620%
Q4 2025$12.84+372%
Q3 2025$7.84+193%
Q2 2025$3.84+63%
Q1 2025$2.80+59%
Q4 2024$2.72+71%
Q3 2024$2.68+61%

SIMO has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

SIMO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $172MQ4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $211MQ3 2024: $212MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $242MQ4 2025: $278MQ1 2026: $342MQ2 2026: $451M
Q3 2023: $172MQ4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $211MQ3 2024: $212MQ4 2024: $191MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $242MQ4 2025: $278MQ1 2026: $342MQ2 2026: $451M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$451M+127%
Q1 2026$342.1M+105%
Q4 2025$278.5M+46%
Q3 2025$242M+14%
Q2 2025$198.7M-5.7%
Q1 2025$166.5M-12%
Q4 2024$191.2M-5.5%
Q3 2024$212.4M+23%

SIMO has the edge over INTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over SIMO on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SIMO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $48MQ4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: −$33MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: −$72M
Q3 2023: $48MQ4 2023: $32MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $42MQ4 2024: −$17MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: −$33MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$6MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: −$72M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$71.5M-$38.7M
Q1 2026-$49.4M-228%
Q4 2025-$6.3M+$10.7M
Q3 2025$6.8M-84%
Q2 2025-$32.8M-397%
Q1 2025$38.6M+$41.5M
Q4 2024-$17M-154%
Q3 2024$41.6M-13%

SIMO's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$120M over the past year.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

SIMO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 33MQ4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 9M
Q3 2023: 33MQ4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 34MQ2 2024: 34MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+45.3K shares
1 year+1.6%+134K shares
3 years-75%-24.9M shares
5 years-76%-26.4M shares
Available history-76%-26.6M shares

SIMO has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

SIMO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -3.3xQ4 2023: -4.2xQ1 2024: -3.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ3 2024: -2.6xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: -3.3xQ4 2023: -4.2xQ1 2024: -3.2xQ2 2024: -2.5xQ3 2024: -2.6xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.6xNet Cash

SIMO has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

SIMO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.6Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

SIMO's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SIMO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSIMOSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

SIMO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

SIMO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.319% below
20 week MA$251.429% below
50 week MA$198.99.7% below
100 week MA$133.634% above
200 week MA$98.981% above

SIMO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 81% above its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC is up 69% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

SIMO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.5$44.9-11%
2021$44.9$92.1+105%
2022$92.1$62.4-32%
2023$62.4$61.3-1.8%
2024$61.3$54.9-10%
2025$54.9$90.2+64%
2026 YTD$90.2$179.5+99%

SIMO has the edge over INTC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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