INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SAP

SAP SE

66
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

SAP has a slight edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

SAP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

SAP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SAP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x63x95x126x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x63x95x126x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$185-21%
Current31x$234—
Fair35x$262+12%
Expensive65x$489+109%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SAP's PE is 31x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SAP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SAP, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SAP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SAP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$301.47
Downside-22%$183.69

Calculated from the latest close: $234.06 on Nov 12.

SAP trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

SAP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $5.15Q4 2023: $5.75Q1 2024: $4.51Q2 2024: $2.37Q3 2024: $2.54Q4 2024: $2.93Q1 2025: $5.40Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $6.69Q4 2025: $6.92Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.55
Q3 2023: $5.15Q4 2023: $5.75Q1 2024: $4.51Q2 2024: $2.37Q3 2024: $2.54Q4 2024: $2.93Q1 2025: $5.40Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $6.69Q4 2025: $6.92Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$7.55+22%
Q1 2026$7.08+31%
Q4 2025$6.92+136%
Q3 2025$6.69+163%
Q2 2025$6.18+161%
Q1 2025$5.40+20%
Q4 2024$2.93-49%
Q3 2024$2.54-51%

SAP has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

SAP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.6BQ4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.9BQ2 2024: $9.2BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $10BQ3 2025: $10.1BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $11B
Q3 2023: $8.6BQ4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.9BQ2 2024: $9.2BQ3 2024: $9.4BQ4 2024: $10.4BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $10BQ3 2025: $10.1BQ4 2025: $10.8BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11B+9.4%
Q1 2026$10.6B+6%
Q4 2025$10.8B+3.3%
Q3 2025$10.1B+7.2%
Q2 2025$10B+8.9%
Q1 2025$10B+12%
Q4 2024$10.4B+11%
Q3 2024$9.4B+9.4%

SAP has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over SAP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SAP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: −$910MQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.4B
Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: −$910MQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$3.4B+27%
Q1 2026$3.6B-9.4%
Q4 2025$1.2B+$2.2B
Q3 2025$1.4B+4.9%
Q2 2025$2.7B+75%
Q1 2025$4B+34%
Q4 2024-$909.8M-146%
Q3 2024$1.4B+32%

SAP generated $9.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 36% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

SAP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.2BQ4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.2B
Q3 2023: 1.2BQ4 2023: 1.2BQ1 2024: 1.2BQ2 2024: 1.2BQ3 2024: 1.2BQ4 2024: 1.2BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-10M shares
1 year-1.3%-14.9M shares
3 years-1.9%-22M shares
5 years-1.9%-22M shares
Available history-3%-36M shares

SAP has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

SAP Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.2xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.8x
Q3 2023: 0.2xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: -1.5xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.8xQ2 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 2024-1.5xNet Cash

SAP has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

SAP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.4Neutral
Stochastic81.0Overbought

SAP's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SAP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSAPSector medianRelative
PE31x28x11% above
PE %43358 pts above

SAP is trading at 31x earnings, a 11% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

SAP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$224.94.1% above
20 week MA$205.414% above
50 week MA$200.117% above
100 week MA$237.11.3% below
200 week MA$202.815% above

SAP has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over SAP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SAP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$135.0$126.1-6.6%
2021$126.1$140.1+11%
2022$140.1$103.5-26%
2023$103.5$154.6+49%
2024$154.6$250.2+62%
2025$250.2$246.6-1.4%
2026 YTD$246.6$234.1-5.1%

SAP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 5.1% so far in 2026.

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