INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
PRGS
Progress Software Corporation
PRGS has the edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
PRGS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
PRGS's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PRGS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 6.7x | $43.44 | — |
| Current | 20x | $43.44 | — |
| Cheap | 25x | $53.38 | +23% |
| Fair | 31x | $66.66 | +53% |
| Expensive | 38x | $81.69 | +88% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PRGS's PE is in its cheap range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.7x next year's earnings.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
INTC has the edge over PRGS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
PRGS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PRGS, but weaker profitability.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
PRGS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.46 | +198% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.17 | +101% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.06 | +60% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.95 | +54% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.66 | +7.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.08 | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.29 | -22% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.27 | -18% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.54 | -1.9% |
PRGS has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PRGS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $246M | -1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $253.5M | +6.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $247.8M | +4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $252.7M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $249.8M | +40% |
| Q2 2025 | $237.4M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $238M | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $215M | +21% |
PRGS has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +5.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | +5.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | -5.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -2.7 points |
PRGS has the edge over INTC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over PRGS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PRGS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $86.3M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $77M | +161% |
| Q1 2026 | $95.9M | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $59.9M | +257% |
| Q3 2025 | $72.4M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $29.5M | -53% |
| Q1 2025 | $67.7M | -3.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.8M | -45% |
PRGS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $319M over the past year, up 71% from the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
PRGS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -832K shares |
| 1 year | -5.1% | -2.2M shares |
| 3 years | -7.8% | -3.5M shares |
| 5 years | -6.8% | -3M shares |
| Available history | -8.5% | -3.9M shares |
PRGS has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $34.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $20.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $40M |
| Q3 2025 | $15M |
| Q2 2025 | $20M |
| Q1 2025 | $30.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
PRGS spent $112M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 72% from the year before.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC has the edge over PRGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PRGS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
PRGS's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
PRGS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.9 | Neutral |
PRGS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PRGS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PRGS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 28x | 28% below |
| PE % | 8 | 35 | 27 pts below |
PRGS is trading at 20x earnings, a 28% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
PRGS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $41.9 | 3.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $41.5 | 4.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $37.8 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $45.5 | 4.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $51.1 | 15% below |
PRGS has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over PRGS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PRGS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $41.7 | $44.2 | +6% |
| 2021 | $44.2 | $48.3 | +9.3% |
| 2022 | $48.3 | $50.5 | +4.4% |
| 2023 | $50.5 | $54.3 | +7.6% |
| 2024 | $54.3 | $65.5 | +21% |
| 2025 | $65.5 | $43.5 | -34% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.5 | $43.4 | -0.2% |
PRGS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.