INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PICS
PicS N.V.
PICS has a slight edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
PICS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
PICS's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PICS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 3.8x | $6.96 | — |
| Cheap | 5.2x | $9.53 | +37% |
| Fair | 6.1x | $11.33 | +63% |
| Expensive | 6.7x | $12.44 | +79% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PICS's PE is 3.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PICS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PICS, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
PICS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.85 | +278% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.62 | +286% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.53 | +378% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.49 | +40% |
PICS has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over PICS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PICS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $737.9M | +78% |
| Q1 2026 | $628.9M | +70% |
| Q4 2025 | $539.6M | +80% |
| Q3 2025 | $469.8M | +101% |
| Q2 2025 | $415.6M | +99% |
| Q1 2025 | $369.5M | +82% |
| Q4 2024 | $299.8M | +76% |
| Q3 2024 | $234.1M | +39% |
PICS has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 7.1% | +2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 43% | +6.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 34% | +31 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6.4% | -3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.6% | -4.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 37% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.8% | +6.9 points |
| Q3 2024 | 9.4% | -33 points |
PICS's operating margin was 7.1% last quarter, up 2.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over PICS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PICS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $826.8M | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | -$75.9M | +$432.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$474.3M | -$310.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $202.7M | +$218.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $625.2M | +$638.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$507.9M | -$449M |
| Q4 2024 | -$163.8M | -267% |
| Q3 2024 | -$15.8M | -107% |
PICS's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $479M over the past year.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
PICS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
PICS has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
PICS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC has the edge over PICS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PICS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | -2.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 26.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.6x | Net Cash |
PICS's net debt is about 14 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
PICS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 35.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 4.3 | Oversold |
PICS's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PICS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PICS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3.8x | 28x | 86% below |
| PE % | 9 | 17 | 8 pts below |
PICS is trading at 3.8x earnings, a 86% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has stronger trend alignment. INTC is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus PICS above 0 of 2.
PICS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.91 | 30% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.7 | 35% below |
PICS is in a downtrend: it's below all two of its weekly moving averages, and 35% below its 20-week average.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over PICS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PICS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 YTD | $18.0 | $6.96 | -61% |
It's down 61% so far in 2026.