INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PDFS

PDF Solutions, Inc.

81
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

PDFS has the edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

PDFS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

PDFS's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PDFS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE399x798x1198x1597x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE399x798x1198x1597x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$40.64—
Current107x$40.64—
Cheap184x$69.88+72%
Fair405x$154+279%
Expensive968x$368+805%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PDFS's PE is in its cheap range at 107x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PDFS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PDFS, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails PDFS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PDFS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+108%$84.34
Downside-14%$34.92

Calculated from the latest close: $40.64 on Nov 12.

PDFS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

PDFS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $-0.07Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.02Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $-0.02Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.25Q3 2026: $0.38Forward: $1.55
Q4 2023: $0.08Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $-0.07Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.03Q2 2025: $0.02Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $-0.02Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.25Q3 2026: $0.38Forward: $1.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.55+308%
Q3 2026$0.38+$0.39
Q2 2026$0.25+1150%
Q1 2026$0.18+500%
Q4 2025-$0.02-120%
Q3 2025-$0.01-108%
Q2 2025$0.02+$0.09
Q1 2025$0.03-50%
Q4 2024$0.10+25%

PDFS has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

PDFS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $62MQ3 2026: $68M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: $48MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $57MQ4 2025: $62MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $62MQ3 2026: $68M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$68.3M+20%
Q2 2026$61.5M+19%
Q1 2026$60.1M+26%
Q4 2025$62.4M+25%
Q3 2025$57.1M+23%
Q2 2025$51.7M+24%
Q1 2025$47.8M+16%
Q4 2024$50.1M+22%

PDFS has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over PDFS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PDFS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$633,000Q1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $535,000Q2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$1M
Q4 2023: −$633,000Q1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: $535,000Q2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$3MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1M+$1.8M
Q2 2026$2.3M+$16.1M
Q1 2026-$8.8M-1745%
Q4 2025$7.6M+$11.5M
Q3 2025-$2.9M-158%
Q2 2025-$13.8M-$9.1M
Q1 2025$535K+$4.4M
Q4 2024-$4M-$3.3M

PDFS's free cash flow was −$23,000 over the past year, against −$20M the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

PDFS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 43M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 39MQ2 2024: 39MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 39MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+1.2M shares
1 year+8.5%+3.4M shares
3 years+13%+4.8M shares
5 years+15%+5.8M shares
Available history+33%+10.6M shares

PDFS has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

PDFS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -10.1xQ1 2024: -10.0xQ2 2024: -12.8xQ3 2024: -10.3xQ4 2024: -8.9xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.4x
Q4 2023: -10.1xQ1 2024: -10.0xQ2 2024: -12.8xQ3 2024: -10.3xQ4 2024: -8.9xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 5.4xQ3 2025: 4.4xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20254.4xHigh
Q2 20255.4xHigh
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 2024-8.9xNet Cash

PDFS has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

PDFS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic22.2Neutral

PDFS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PDFS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPDFSSector medianRelative
PE107x28x284% above
PE %13534 pts below

PDFS is trading at 107x earnings, a 284% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

PDFS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.79% below
20 week MA$47.414% below
50 week MA$42.64.6% below
100 week MA$32.724% above
200 week MA$33.621% above

PDFS has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 21% above its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over PDFS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PDFS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.5$22.0+34%
2021$22.0$31.3+42%
2022$31.3$28.6-8.9%
2023$28.6$32.1+13%
2024$32.1$27.9-13%
2025$27.9$29.3+5.1%
2026 YTD$29.3$40.6+39%

PDFS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 39% so far in 2026.

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