INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
OSPN
OneSpan Inc.
OSPN has a slight edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
OSPN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
OSPN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OSPN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.3x | $15.07 | -33% |
| Current | 12x | $22.43 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $22.43 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $40.90 | +82% |
| Expensive | 80x | $146 | +549% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OSPN's PE is in its fair range at 12x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17x.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
OSPN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for OSPN, with profitability improving.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
OSPN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.34 | -26% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.81 | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.78 | +17% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.81 | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.88 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.48 | +100% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.52 | +253% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.48 | +$1.66 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +$2.20 |
OSPN has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC has the edge over OSPN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC has the edge over OSPN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
OSPN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $63.9M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $60.5M | +1% |
| Q1 2026 | $65.9M | +4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $62.9M | +2.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $57.1M | +1.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $59.8M | -1.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $63.4M | -2.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $61.2M | -2.8% |
OSPN's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $64M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | +0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -3.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | -4.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | +5.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +16 points |
OSPN's operating margin was 14% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over OSPN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
OSPN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.3M | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.3M | -175% |
| Q1 2026 | $25.1M | -9.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.6M | -7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.8M | -27% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.4M | +16669% |
| Q1 2025 | $27.7M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.5M | +$10.8M |
OSPN generated $45M in free cash flow over the past year, down 13% from the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
OSPN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.4% | +897K shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +271K shares |
| 3 years | -3.5% | -1.4M shares |
| 5 years | -2.5% | -989K shares |
OSPN has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $2.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $5.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $6.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $3,000 |
| Q4 2023 | $25.6M |
| Q3 2023 | $3.5M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
OSPN spent $15M buying back its own shares over the past year.
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
OSPN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
OSPN has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
OSPN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 66.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 65.9 | Neutral |
OSPN's weekly RSI is 67 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OSPN PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | OSPN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 28x | 56% below |
| PE % | 48 | 35 | 13 pts above |
OSPN is trading at 12x earnings, a 56% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
OSPN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.2 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $17.7 | 27% above |
| 50 week MA | $14.3 | 57% above |
| 100 week MA | $15.1 | 49% above |
| 200 week MA | $14.2 | 58% above |
OSPN has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC is up 69% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.
OSPN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $17.2 | $21.3 | +24% |
| 2021 | $21.3 | $16.9 | -21% |
| 2022 | $16.9 | $11.5 | -32% |
| 2023 | $11.5 | $10.7 | -7% |
| 2024 | $10.7 | $18.8 | +75% |
| 2025 | $18.8 | $12.9 | -31% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.9 | $22.4 | +74% |
OSPN has the edge over INTC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.