INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OLED

Universal Display Corporation

66
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation82/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

OLED has a slight edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

OLED Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

OLED's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OLED PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$89.89—
Forward20x$89.89—
Cheap26x$130+45%
Fair36x$177+96%
Expensive64x$316+251%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OLED's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 20x.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over OLED on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

OLED Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect OLED's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OLED, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OLED Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$115.35
Downside-21%$71.05

Calculated from the latest close: $89.89 on Nov 12.

OLED trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

OLED Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.24Q1 2024: $4.60Q2 2024: $4.66Q3 2024: $4.98Q4 2024: $4.65Q1 2025: $4.81Q2 2025: $5.12Q3 2025: $4.64Q4 2025: $5.08Q1 2026: $4.49Q2 2026: $4.14Q3 2026: $4.94Forward: $4.50
Q4 2023: $4.24Q1 2024: $4.60Q2 2024: $4.66Q3 2024: $4.98Q4 2024: $4.65Q1 2025: $4.81Q2 2025: $5.12Q3 2025: $4.64Q4 2025: $5.08Q1 2026: $4.49Q2 2026: $4.14Q3 2026: $4.94Forward: $4.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.50-8.8%
Q3 2026$4.94+6.5%
Q2 2026$4.14-19%
Q1 2026$4.49-6.7%
Q4 2025$5.08+9.2%
Q3 2025$4.64-6.8%
Q2 2025$5.12+9.9%
Q1 2025$4.81+4.6%
Q4 2024$4.65+9.7%

OLED has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

OLED Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $140MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $142MQ2 2026: $152MQ3 2026: $160M
Q4 2023: $158MQ1 2024: $165MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $162MQ1 2025: $166MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $140MQ4 2025: $173MQ1 2026: $142MQ2 2026: $152MQ3 2026: $160M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$160.4M+15%
Q2 2026$152.2M-11%
Q1 2026$142.2M-14%
Q4 2025$172.9M+6.6%
Q3 2025$139.6M-14%
Q2 2025$171.8M+8.4%
Q1 2025$166.3M+0.6%
Q4 2024$162.3M+2.5%

OLED has the edge over INTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over OLED on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OLED Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $96M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $18MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $84MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $20MQ3 2026: $96M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$95.9M+14%
Q2 2026$20.3M-46%
Q1 2026$100.3M+473%
Q4 2025$15.1M-32%
Q3 2025$84.3M+27%
Q2 2025$37.5M-35%
Q1 2025$17.5M-73%
Q4 2024$22M-25%

OLED generated $232M in free cash flow over the past year, up 44% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

OLED Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-895K shares
1 year-4%-1.9M shares
3 years-3.9%-1.8M shares
5 years-3.3%-1.6M shares
Available history-2.6%-1.2M shares

OLED has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

OLED Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.5xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.5xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

OLED has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

OLED Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic66.4Neutral

OLED's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OLED PE vs Technology Sector

MetricOLEDSector medianRelative
PE18x28x35% below
PE %33532 pts below

OLED is trading at 18x earnings, a 35% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

OLED Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$82.59% above
20 week MA$82.68.8% above
50 week MA$95.45.7% below
100 week MA$119.225% below
200 week MA$143.237% below

OLED has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 37% below its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over OLED on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OLED Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$212.7$233.2+9.6%
2021$233.2$159.4-32%
2022$159.4$106.7-33%
2023$106.7$191.3+79%
2024$191.3$149.7-22%
2025$149.7$119.6-20%
2026 YTD$119.6$89.9-25%

OLED has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 25% so far in 2026.

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