INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has the edge over NXT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
NXT
Nextpower Inc.
NXT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
NXT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NXT's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NXT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $59.80 | -36% |
| Forward | 19x | $93.60 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $88.88 | -5% |
| Current | 24x | $93.60 | — |
| Expensive | 29x | $117 | +25% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NXT's PE is in its fair range at 24x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
INTC has the edge over NXT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NXT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NXT, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
NXT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.98 | +25% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.98 | +3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.87 | +5.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.84 | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.91 | -0.8% |
| Q4 2022 | $2.29 | +29% |
| Q3 2022 | $1.66 | -24% |
| Q2 2022 | $1.36 | -47% |
| Q1 2022 | $1.14 | -59% |
NXT has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NXT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +23% |
| Q2 2026 | $935.2M | +8.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $880.5M | -4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $909.4M | +34% |
| Q3 2025 | $905.3M | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $864.3M | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $924.3M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $679.4M | -4.4% |
NXT has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 20% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | -2.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 22% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -16 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | +1.2 points |
NXT has the edge over INTC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over NXT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NXT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $135M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $105.2M | +50% |
| Q1 2026 | $153.6M | -32% |
| Q4 2025 | $118.5M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $171.4M | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $70.1M | -41% |
| Q1 2025 | $227.2M | +108% |
| Q4 2024 | $134.9M | +116% |
NXT generated $512M in free cash flow over the past year, down 15% from the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
NXT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.8% | -1.2M shares |
| 1 year | +1.2% | +1.9M shares |
| 3 years | +5.5% | +8.1M shares |
| 5 years | +265% | +112M shares |
NXT has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
NXT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
NXT has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
NXT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.1 | Neutral |
NXT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NXT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NXT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24x | 28x | 16% below |
| PE % | 56 | 35 | 21 pts above |
NXT is trading at 24x earnings, a 16% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
NXT has stronger trend alignment. INTC is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus NXT above 3 of 4.
NXT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $86.0 | 8.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $91.5 | 2.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $104.7 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $82.1 | 14% above |
NXT's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 14% above its 100-week average.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over NXT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NXT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $31.0 | $46.9 | +51% |
| 2024 | $46.9 | $37.2 | -21% |
| 2025 | $37.2 | $91.2 | +145% |
| 2026 YTD | $91.2 | $93.6 | +2.6% |
NXT has finished higher in two of the last three years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 2.6% so far in 2026.