INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NXPI

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

77
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NXPI has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

NXPI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

NXPI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NXPI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE337x674x1011x1348x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE337x674x1011x1348x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$267—
Cheap19x$237-11%
Current21x$267—
Fair24x$302+13%
Expensive59x$745+179%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NXPI's PE is in its fair range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NXPI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NXPI, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails NXPI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NXPI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$373.34
Downside-18%$219.26

Calculated from the latest close: $267.29 on Nov 12.

NXPI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NXPI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.70Q1 2024: $10.82Q2 2024: $10.69Q3 2024: $10.47Q4 2024: $9.73Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $8.39Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $7.95Q1 2026: $10.46Q2 2026: $11.73Q3 2026: $12.73Forward: $17.59
Q4 2023: $10.70Q1 2024: $10.82Q2 2024: $10.69Q3 2024: $10.47Q4 2024: $9.73Q1 2025: $9.18Q2 2025: $8.39Q3 2025: $8.08Q4 2025: $7.95Q1 2026: $10.46Q2 2026: $11.73Q3 2026: $12.73Forward: $17.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.59+38%
Q3 2026$12.73+58%
Q2 2026$11.73+40%
Q1 2026$10.46+14%
Q4 2025$7.95-18%
Q3 2025$8.08-23%
Q2 2025$8.39-22%
Q1 2025$9.18-15%
Q4 2024$9.73-9.1%

NXPI has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

NXPI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
Q4 2023: $3.4BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3.3BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.5BQ3 2026: $3.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.8B+19%
Q2 2026$3.5B+19%
Q1 2026$3.2B+12%
Q4 2025$3.3B+7.2%
Q3 2025$3.2B-2.4%
Q2 2025$2.9B-6.4%
Q1 2025$2.8B-9.3%
Q4 2024$3.1B-9.1%

NXPI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $3.8B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over NXPI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NXPI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $962MQ1 2024: $625MQ2 2024: $576MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $261MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $696MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $793MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $791MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $962MQ1 2024: $625MQ2 2024: $576MQ3 2024: $593MQ4 2024: $261MQ1 2025: $426MQ2 2025: $696MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $793MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $791MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+137%
Q2 2026$791M+14%
Q1 2026$714M+68%
Q4 2025$793M+204%
Q3 2025$508M-14%
Q2 2025$696M+21%
Q1 2025$426M-32%
Q4 2024$261M-73%

NXPI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $3.5B over the past year, up 85% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

NXPI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 259MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 258MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 254MQ3 2025: 254MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 254MQ3 2026: 254M
Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 259MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 258MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 255MQ2 2025: 254MQ3 2025: 254MQ4 2025: 254MQ1 2026: 254MQ2 2026: 254MQ3 2026: 254M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-190K shares
1 year-0.2%-479K shares
3 years-2.8%-7.3M shares
5 years-6.5%-17.5M shares
Available history-11%-32.1M shares

NXPI has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

NXPI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.5xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.6xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

NXPI has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

NXPI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.5Neutral
Stochastic72.1Neutral

NXPI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NXPI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNXPISector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %36351 pt above

NXPI is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

NXPI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$243.69.7% above
20 week MA$244.89.2% above
50 week MA$244.69.3% above
100 week MA$227.218% above
200 week MA$222.420% above

NXPI has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over NXPI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NXPI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$128.2$157.3+23%
2021$157.3$227.4+45%
2022$227.4$157.7-31%
2023$157.7$229.7+46%
2024$229.7$213.8-6.9%
2025$213.8$222.9+4.3%
2026 YTD$222.9$267.3+20%

NXPI has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 20% so far in 2026.

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