INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NCNO

nCino, Inc.

70
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

NCNO has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

NCNO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

NCNO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NCNO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE96x192x288x384x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE96x192x288x384x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$22.36—
Cheap72x$21.56-3.6%
Current75x$22.36—
Fair133x$40.02+79%
Expensive333x$99.88+347%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NCNO's PE is 75x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NCNO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NCNO, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NCNO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NCNO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$32.59
Downside-30%$15.64

Calculated from the latest close: $22.36 on Nov 12.

NCNO trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NCNO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.38Q2 2024: $-0.31Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.28Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $0.05Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.51
Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.38Q2 2024: $-0.31Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.17Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.25Q3 2025: $-0.28Q4 2025: $-0.17Q1 2026: $0.05Q2 2026: $0.12Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $1.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.51+405%
Q3 2026$0.30+$0.58
Q2 2026$0.12+$0.37
Q1 2026$0.05+$0.38
Q4 2025-$0.17$0.00
Q3 2025-$0.28-$0.01
Q2 2025-$0.25+$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.33+$0.05
Q4 2024-$0.17+$0.41

NCNO has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

NCNO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $139MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $149MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $159MQ3 2026: $161M
Q4 2023: $122MQ1 2024: $124MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $132MQ4 2024: $139MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $149MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $150MQ2 2026: $159MQ3 2026: $161M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$161M+8.2%
Q2 2026$159.4M+11%
Q1 2026$149.7M+5.9%
Q4 2025$152.2M+9.6%
Q3 2025$148.8M+12%
Q2 2025$144.1M+13%
Q1 2025$141.4M+14%
Q4 2024$138.8M+14%

NCNO has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over NCNO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NCNO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $34M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $54MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $53MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $34M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$34M+170%
Q2 2026$80.8M+54%
Q1 2026$12.5M+$22.8M
Q4 2025$4.9M-3.9%
Q3 2025$12.6M+176%
Q2 2025$52.6M-2.8%
Q1 2025-$10.4M-234%
Q4 2024$5.1M-2.9%

NCNO generated $132M in free cash flow over the past year, up 121% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

NCNO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 113MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 109MQ3 2026: 105M
Q4 2023: 113MQ1 2024: 113MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 115MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 115MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 109MQ3 2026: 105M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.7%-4.1M shares
1 year-8.6%-9.9M shares
3 years-6.3%-7M shares
5 years+10%+9.7M shares
Available history+18%+15.7M shares

NCNO has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC has the edge over NCNO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NCNO Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -19.5xQ2 2024: -7.5xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.0xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q1 2024: -19.5xQ2 2024: -7.5xQ3 2024: -4.9xQ4 2024: -5.0xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.4xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20262.4xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 2024-5.0xNet Cash

NCNO's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

NCNO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.1Neutral
Stochastic77.0Neutral

NCNO's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 77 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NCNO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNCNOSector medianRelative
PE75x28x168% above
PE %193718 pts below

NCNO is trading at 75x earnings, a 168% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

NCNO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.25.7% above
20 week MA$20.310% above
50 week MA$19.415% above
100 week MA$23.86.2% below
200 week MA$27.218% below

NCNO has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over NCNO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NCNO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.0$78.7+6.3%
2021$78.7$57.0-28%
2022$57.0$25.9-55%
2023$25.9$33.6+30%
2024$33.6$34.4+2.4%
2025$34.4$26.3-24%
2026 YTD$26.3$22.4-15%

NCNO has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

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