INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC has a slight edge over NATL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
NATL
NCR Atleos Corporation
NATL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
NATL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
NATL's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NATL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.8x | $48.24 | — |
| Current | 14x | $48.24 | — |
| Cheap | 18x | $62.59 | +30% |
| Fair | 20x | $68.98 | +43% |
| Expensive | 22x | $76.66 | +59% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NATL's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
INTC has the edge over NATL on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
NATL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NATL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
NATL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.91 | +40% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.51 | +104% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.58 | +52% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.32 | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.26 | +97% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.72 | +$3.46 |
| Q2 2025 | $1.70 | +$4.58 |
NATL has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NATL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | -0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +4% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +4% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $980M | -6.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +0.9% |
NATL's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.1B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +6.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.1% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | +0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.8% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.8% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | +10 points |
NATL has the edge over INTC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over NATL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NATL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $147M | +$152M |
| Q2 2026 | $4M | +$48M |
| Q1 2026 | -$36M | -138% |
| Q4 2025 | $194M | +213% |
| Q3 2025 | -$5M | -106% |
| Q2 2025 | -$44M | -$30M |
| Q1 2025 | $94M | -24% |
| Q4 2024 | $62M | +$92M |
NATL generated $309M in free cash flow over the past year, up 189% from the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
NATL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +300K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | +7.8% | +5.5M shares |
NATL has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $16M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC has the edge over NATL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NATL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7x | Elevated |
NATL's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.3 years a year ago.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
NATL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.7 | Neutral |
NATL's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NATL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NATL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 28x | 51% below |
| PE % | 1 | 18 | 17 pts below |
NATL is trading at 14x earnings, a 51% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
NATL has stronger trend alignment. INTC is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus NATL above 4 of 4.
NATL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $46.5 | 3.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $46.4 | 4% above |
| 50 week MA | $43.9 | 9.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $37.9 | 27% above |
NATL is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 27% above its 100-week average.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over NATL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NATL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $22.4 | $24.3 | +8.5% |
| 2024 | $24.3 | $34.3 | +41% |
| 2025 | $34.3 | $39.0 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $39.0 | $48.2 | +24% |
NATL has finished every year since 2023 higher, and it's up 24% so far in 2026.