INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.

80
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MTSI has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

MTSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MTSI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x85x128x170x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE43x85x128x170x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$65.74-73%
Current57x$246—
Fair81x$349+42%
Expensive128x$552+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTSI's PE is in its fair range at 57x.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MTSI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MTSI to show an outlook.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails MTSI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MTSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+90%$467.48
Downside-15%$208.41

Calculated from the latest close: $245.76 on Nov 12.

MTSI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MTSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.04Q1 2024: $0.88Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $-1.43Q2 2025: $-1.21Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $2.39Q3 2026: $3.19Q4 2026: $4.31
Q4 2023: $1.04Q1 2024: $0.88Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.04Q1 2025: $-1.43Q2 2025: $-1.21Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $2.21Q2 2026: $2.39Q3 2026: $3.19Q4 2026: $4.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$4.31+$5.04
Q2 2026$3.19+$4.19
Q1 2026$2.39+$3.60
Q4 2025$2.21+$3.64
Q3 2025-$0.73-170%
Q2 2025-$1.00-202%
Q1 2025-$1.21-238%
Q4 2024-$1.43-238%

MTSI has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

MTSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $201MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: $272MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $342MQ4 2026: $425M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $181MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $201MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $236MQ3 2025: $252MQ4 2025: $261MQ1 2026: $272MQ2 2026: $289MQ3 2026: $342MQ4 2026: $425M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$424.8M+63%
Q2 2026$342.2M+36%
Q1 2026$289M+22%
Q4 2025$271.6M+25%
Q3 2025$261.2M+30%
Q2 2025$252.1M+32%
Q1 2025$235.9M+30%
Q4 2024$218.1M+39%

MTSI has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over MTSI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $59MQ4 2026: $138M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $57MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $59MQ4 2026: $138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$138M+179%
Q2 2026$59.2M+15%
Q1 2026$65.5M+114%
Q4 2025$30M-51%
Q3 2025$49.4M-14%
Q2 2025$51.6M+24%
Q1 2025$30.5M+134%
Q4 2024$61.3M+116%

MTSI's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $293M over the past year, up 52% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

MTSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 76MQ3 2025: 76MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 78MQ3 2026: 78MQ4 2026: 78M
Q4 2023: 72MQ1 2024: 73MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 74MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 76MQ3 2025: 76MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 77MQ2 2026: 78MQ3 2026: 78MQ4 2026: 78M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-674K shares
1 year+5.1%+3.7M shares
3 years+8.7%+6.2M shares
5 years+10%+7.3M shares
Available history+17%+11.5M shares

MTSI has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

MTSI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 1.0xQ4 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.1xQ2 2025: 2.6xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.2xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 1.0xQ4 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20261.0xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.9xHealthy
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20252.6xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

MTSI has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MTSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.1Neutral
Stochastic19.4Oversold

MTSI's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MTSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMTSISector medianRelative
PE57x28x105% above
PE %42357 pts above

MTSI is trading at 57x earnings, a 105% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

MTSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$265.97.6% below
20 week MA$276.111% below
50 week MA$268.08.3% below
100 week MA$198.424% above
200 week MA$143.272% above

MTSI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 72% above its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over MTSI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MTSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$54.6+99%
2021$54.6$77.5+42%
2022$77.5$63.3-18%
2023$63.3$93.0+47%
2024$93.0$133.5+44%
2025$133.5$175.0+31%
2026 YTD$175.0$245.8+40%

MTSI has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 40% so far in 2026.

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