INTC
Intel Corporation
INTC offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.
MPWR has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
INTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.
MPWR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MPWR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
INTC PE Valuation
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MPWR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 34x | $1,447 | — |
| Cheap | 45x | $808 | -44% |
| Fair | 77x | $1,400 | -3.3% |
| Current | 80x | $1,447 | — |
| Expensive | 105x | $1,910 | +32% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MPWR's PE is in its fair range at 80x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
INTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MPWR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MPWR, with profitability improving.
INTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.39 | -24000% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.09 | +$2.68 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$3.88 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.06 | +$4.32 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.01 | +$3.72 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.77 | -2088% |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.48 | -562% |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.38 | -1195% |
INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
MPWR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $42.12 | +132% |
| Q3 2026 | $18.15 | -53% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.35 | -57% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.91 | -63% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.78 | -65% |
| Q3 2025 | $38.98 | +339% |
| Q2 2025 | $38.22 | +355% |
| Q1 2025 | $37.49 | +347% |
| Q4 2024 | $36.59 | +318% |
MPWR has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
INTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $16.5B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.1B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.6B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7B | -4.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.7B | +2.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.9B | +0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | -0.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $14.3B | -7.4% |
INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | +36 points |
| Q1 2026 | -23% | -21 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.2% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5% | +73 points |
| Q2 2025 | -25% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4% | +6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.9% | -14 points |
INTC's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 10 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MPWR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +63% |
| Q2 2026 | $980.6M | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $804.2M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $751.2M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $737.2M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $664.6M | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $637.6M | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $621.7M | +37% |
MPWR has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | +3.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 31% | +6.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | 0 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | +5.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +2.1 points |
MPWR has the edge over INTC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
INTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +774% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.5B | +$6B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5B | +$1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $800M | +$3.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $121M | +$2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | +$1.9B |
| Q1 2025 | -$4.4B | +$2.8B |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.7B | -$597M |
INTC has the edge over MPWR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MPWR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $220.6M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $145.5M | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $179.4M | -17% |
| Q4 2025 | $63.9M | -38% |
| Q3 2025 | $196.8M | -0.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $189.5M | +73% |
| Q1 2025 | $216M | -6.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $102.9M | -26% |
MPWR generated $609M in free cash flow over the past year, down 14% from the year before.
INTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4% | +203M shares |
| 1 year | +17% | +776M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +1.1B shares |
| 5 years | +30% | +1.2B shares |
| Available history | +19% | +834M shares |
INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $114M |
| Q1 2021 | $2.3B |
MPWR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -76K shares |
| 1 year | +2.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 3 years | +0.8% | +392K shares |
| 5 years | +2.8% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +5.8% | +2.7M shares |
MPWR has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $453.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $622.1M |
| Q3 2024 | $5.5M |
| Q2 2024 | $4.6M |
INTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 69.6x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 23.8x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 4.3x | High |
INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.
MPWR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
MPWR has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
INTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.7 | Oversold |
INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
MPWR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 40.0 | Neutral |
MPWR's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).
INTC PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | INTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MPWR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MPWR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 80x | 28x | 186% above |
| PE % | 53 | 35 | 18 pts above |
MPWR is trading at 80x earnings, a 186% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
INTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $88.4 | 31% below |
| 20 week MA | $95.3 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $79.3 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.1 | 18% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 44% above |
INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.
MPWR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,299.2 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,307.9 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,268.3 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $1,001.6 | 45% above |
| 200 week MA | $812.9 | 78% above |
MPWR has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
INTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $60.1 | $47.1 | -22% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $51.3 | +9% |
| 2022 | $51.3 | $26.1 | -49% |
| 2023 | $26.1 | $50.3 | +93% |
| 2024 | $50.3 | $20.3 | -60% |
| 2025 | $20.3 | $36.2 | +78% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.2 | $61.2 | +69% |
INTC has the edge over MPWR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MPWR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $178.4 | $357.1 | +100% |
| 2021 | $357.1 | $495.6 | +39% |
| 2022 | $495.6 | $350.6 | -29% |
| 2023 | $350.6 | $630.8 | +80% |
| 2024 | $630.8 | $612.7 | -2.9% |
| 2025 | $612.7 | $946.3 | +54% |
| 2026 YTD | $946.3 | $1,447.4 | +53% |
MPWR has finished higher in four of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 53% so far in 2026.