INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MITK

Mitek Systems, Inc.

80
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

MITK has the edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

MITK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MITK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MITK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x85x127x170x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x85x127x170x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$18.25—
Current39x$18.25—
Cheap40x$18.89+3.5%
Fair69x$32.56+78%
Expensive90x$42.14+131%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MITK's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MITK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MITK, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails MITK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MITK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$26.38
Downside-21%$14.35

Calculated from the latest close: $18.25 on Nov 12.

MITK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MITK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.17Q4 2023: $-0.06Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.35Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $1.18
Q3 2023: $0.17Q4 2023: $-0.06Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.35Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $1.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.18+151%
Q2 2026$0.47+38%
Q1 2026$0.35+21%
Q4 2025$0.35+250%
Q3 2025$0.19+171%
Q2 2025$0.34+$0.49
Q1 2025$0.29+$0.45
Q4 2024$0.10+$0.16
Q3 2024$0.07-59%

MITK has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

MITK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $54M
Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$54M+18%
Q1 2026$54.8M+5.6%
Q4 2025$44.2M+19%
Q3 2025$44.8M+3.6%
Q2 2025$45.7M+1.7%
Q1 2025$51.9M+11%
Q4 2024$37.3M+0.9%
Q3 2024$43.2M+15%

MITK has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over MITK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MITK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $230,000Q1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $25M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $230,000Q1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$25.3M+19%
Q1 2026-$2.5M-118%
Q4 2025$6.6M+2766%
Q3 2025$19.2M-7.8%
Q2 2025$21.2M+69%
Q1 2025$13.5M+105%
Q4 2024$230K+$9.9M
Q3 2024$20.8M+573%

MITK generated $49M in free cash flow over the past year, down 13% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

MITK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 47MQ4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49M
Q3 2023: 47MQ4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+174K shares
1 year+4%+1.9M shares
3 years+4.8%+2.2M shares
5 years+7.8%+3.5M shares
Available history+17%+7.1M shares

MITK has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

MITK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.4xQ4 2023: 35.6xQ3 2024: -22.8xQ4 2024: 7.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: -1.0x
Q3 2023: 4.4xQ4 2023: 35.6xQ3 2024: -22.8xQ4 2024: 7.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: -1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20247.0xHigh
Q3 2024-22.8xNet Cash
Q4 202335.6xHigh
Q3 20234.4xHigh
Q2 20232.0xHealthy
Q1 20232.0xModerate

MITK has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MITK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic51.8Neutral

MITK's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MITK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMITKSector medianRelative
PE39x28x39% above
PE %143521 pts below

MITK is trading at 39x earnings, a 39% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

MITK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.73.2% above
20 week MA$18.01.3% above
50 week MA$15.320% above
100 week MA$12.447% above
200 week MA$11.658% above

MITK has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC is up 69% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

MITK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.63$18.8+146%
2021$18.8$16.8-11%
2022$16.8$10.0-40%
2023$10.0$13.0+30%
2024$13.0$11.4-13%
2025$11.4$10.5-7.1%
2026 YTD$10.5$18.3+73%

MITK has the edge over INTC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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