INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LRCX

Lam Research Corporation

75
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

LRCX has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

LRCX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

LRCX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LRCX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$109-53%
Forward23x$234—
Fair24x$161-31%
Expensive35x$236+0.9%
Current35x$234—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LRCX's PE is in its expensive range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LRCX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LRCX, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails LRCX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LRCX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$448.73
Downside-16%$195.71

Calculated from the latest close: $233.78 on Nov 12.

LRCX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LRCX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.59Q1 2024: $2.73Q2 2024: $2.90Q3 2024: $3.09Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $3.59Q2 2025: $4.15Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $4.87Q1 2026: $5.29Q2 2026: $5.76Q3 2026: $6.71Forward: $10.20
Q4 2023: $2.59Q1 2024: $2.73Q2 2024: $2.90Q3 2024: $3.09Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $3.59Q2 2025: $4.15Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $4.87Q1 2026: $5.29Q2 2026: $5.76Q3 2026: $6.71Forward: $10.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.20+52%
Q3 2026$6.71+48%
Q2 2026$5.76+39%
Q1 2026$5.29+47%
Q4 2025$4.87+48%
Q3 2025$4.53+47%
Q2 2025$4.15+43%
Q1 2025$3.59+32%
Q4 2024$3.29+27%

LRCX has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

LRCX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4.4BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $5.3BQ1 2026: $5.8BQ2 2026: $6.7BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4.4BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $5.3BQ1 2026: $5.8BQ2 2026: $6.7BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+54%
Q2 2026$6.7B+30%
Q1 2026$5.8B+24%
Q4 2025$5.3B+22%
Q3 2025$5.3B+28%
Q2 2025$5.2B+34%
Q1 2025$4.7B+24%
Q4 2024$4.4B+16%

LRCX has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over LRCX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LRCX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $762MQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $810MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $762MQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $810MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+103%
Q2 2026$1.3B-47%
Q1 2026$809.8M-21%
Q4 2025$1.2B+120%
Q3 2025$1.6B+9.3%
Q2 2025$2.4B+213%
Q1 2025$1B-20%
Q4 2024$553.6M-59%

LRCX's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $6.5B over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

LRCX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-5.3M shares
1 year-1.1%-13.5M shares
3 years-5.7%-75.9M shares
5 years-12%-170M shares
Available history-16%-245M shares

LRCX has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

LRCX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

LRCX has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

LRCX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic16.7Oversold

LRCX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LRCX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLRCXSector medianRelative
PE35x28x25% above
PE %823547 pts above

LRCX is trading at 35x earnings, a 25% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

LRCX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$268.613% below
20 week MA$295.821% below
50 week MA$267.513% below
100 week MA$182.728% above
200 week MA$128.382% above

LRCX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 82% above its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over LRCX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LRCX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.4$48.0+64%
2021$48.0$69.9+45%
2022$69.9$41.2-41%
2023$41.2$78.3+90%
2024$78.3$73.4-6.3%
2025$73.4$178.1+143%
2026 YTD$178.1$233.8+31%

LRCX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +143% in 2025 to −41% in 2022. It's up 31% so far in 2026.

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