INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over KSPI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

KSPI

Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz

54
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

KSPI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

KSPI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

KSPI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KSPI PE Valuation

KSPI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over KSPI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

KSPI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect KSPI's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than KSPI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KSPI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$108.91
Downside-18%$72.34

Calculated from the latest close: $88.64 on Nov 12.

KSPI trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

KSPI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $9.20Q4 2023: $9.88Q1 2024: $10.46Q2 2024: $11.05Q3 2024: $11.51Q4 2024: $12.33Q1 2025: $12.69Q2 2025: $12.86Q3 2025: $12.97Q4 2025: $12.47Q1 2026: $12.30Q2 2026: $12.32
Q3 2023: $9.20Q4 2023: $9.88Q1 2024: $10.46Q2 2024: $11.05Q3 2024: $11.51Q4 2024: $12.33Q1 2025: $12.69Q2 2025: $12.86Q3 2025: $12.97Q4 2025: $12.47Q1 2026: $12.30Q2 2026: $12.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$12.32-4.2%
Q1 2026$12.30-3.1%
Q4 2025$12.47+1.1%
Q3 2025$12.97+13%
Q2 2025$12.86+16%
Q1 2025$12.69+21%
Q4 2024$12.33+25%
Q3 2024$11.51+25%

KSPI has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

KSPI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.1BQ4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.5B
Q3 2023: $1.1BQ4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.5BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.5B+14%
Q1 2026$2.3B+25%
Q4 2025$2.5B+53%
Q3 2025$2.5B+70%
Q2 2025$2.2B+64%
Q1 2025$1.8B+49%
Q4 2024$1.6B+27%
Q3 2024$1.5B+30%

KSPI has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over KSPI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KSPI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$285MQ4 2023: $965MQ1 2024: −$423MQ2 2024: $574MQ3 2024: $368MQ4 2024: $574MQ1 2025: −$341MQ2 2025: $896MQ3 2025: −$323MQ4 2025: $873MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $1.5B
Q3 2023: −$285MQ4 2023: $965MQ1 2024: −$423MQ2 2024: $574MQ3 2024: $368MQ4 2024: $574MQ1 2025: −$341MQ2 2025: $896MQ3 2025: −$323MQ4 2025: $873MQ1 2026: $120MQ2 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.5B+64%
Q1 2026$120.4M+$461.1M
Q4 2025$872.7M+52%
Q3 2025-$323.1M-188%
Q2 2025$895.5M+56%
Q1 2025-$340.7M+$82.1M
Q4 2024$574.3M-40%
Q3 2024$367.6M+$652.3M

KSPI generated $2.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 43% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

KSPI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 192MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 190MQ2 2024: 191MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ1 2025: 190MQ2 2025: 192MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 190MQ1 2026: 190MQ2 2026: 190M
Q3 2023: 192MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 190MQ2 2024: 191MQ3 2024: 191MQ4 2024: 191MQ1 2025: 190MQ2 2025: 192MQ3 2025: 191MQ4 2025: 190MQ1 2026: 190MQ2 2026: 190M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+3K shares
1 year-0.8%-1.6M shares
3 years-1%-1.8M shares

KSPI has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

KSPI Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1x
Q3 2023: -0.3xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

KSPI has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

KSPI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.6Neutral
Stochastic15.5Oversold

KSPI's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KSPI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKSPISector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

KSPI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

KSPI has stronger trend alignment. INTC is above 2 of 5 weekly averages versus KSPI above 2 of 4.

KSPI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$92.44.1% below
20 week MA$94.46.1% below
50 week MA$85.24% above
100 week MA$86.42.6% above

KSPI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 2.6% above its 100-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over KSPI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

KSPI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$96.0$96.7+0.8%
2025$96.7$78.7-19%
2026 YTD$78.7$88.6+13%

KSPI has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

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