INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

KEYS

Keysight Technologies, Inc.

71
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

KEYS has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

KEYS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

KEYS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KEYS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward22x$304—
Cheap26x$192-37%
Fair32x$235-23%
Current42x$304—
Expensive46x$339+11%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KEYS's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 22x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KEYS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for KEYS, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails KEYS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KEYS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$451.41
Downside-14%$261.85

Calculated from the latest close: $304.23 on Nov 12.

KEYS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

KEYS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.91Q1 2024: $5.44Q2 2024: $4.58Q3 2024: $5.19Q4 2024: $3.51Q1 2025: $3.50Q2 2025: $4.27Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $4.91Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $6.10Q3 2026: $7.30Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $5.91Q1 2024: $5.44Q2 2024: $4.58Q3 2024: $5.19Q4 2024: $3.51Q1 2025: $3.50Q2 2025: $4.27Q3 2025: $3.15Q4 2025: $4.91Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $6.10Q3 2026: $7.30Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+89%
Q3 2026$7.30+132%
Q2 2026$6.10+43%
Q1 2026$5.57+59%
Q4 2025$4.91+40%
Q3 2025$3.15-39%
Q2 2025$4.27-6.8%
Q1 2025$3.50-36%
Q4 2024$3.51-41%

KEYS has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

KEYS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+37%
Q2 2026$1.7B+31%
Q1 2026$1.6B+23%
Q4 2025$1.4B+10%
Q3 2025$1.4B+11%
Q2 2025$1.3B+7.4%
Q1 2025$1.3B+3.1%
Q4 2024$1.3B-1.8%

KEYS has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over KEYS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

KEYS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $281MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $321MQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $457MQ3 2025: $291MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $472MQ3 2026: $403M
Q4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $281MQ2 2024: $74MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $321MQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $457MQ3 2025: $291MQ4 2025: $187MQ1 2026: $407MQ2 2026: $472MQ3 2026: $403M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$403M+38%
Q2 2026$472M+3.3%
Q1 2026$407M+18%
Q4 2025$187M-42%
Q3 2025$291M+31%
Q2 2025$457M+518%
Q1 2025$346M+23%
Q4 2024$321M-5.6%

KEYS's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.5B over the past year, up 3.8% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

KEYS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 179MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 175MQ3 2024: 175MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 173MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 173MQ1 2026: 173MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 173M
Q4 2023: 179MQ1 2024: 176MQ2 2024: 175MQ3 2024: 175MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 173MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 173MQ1 2026: 173MQ2 2026: 173MQ3 2026: 173M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years-3.4%-6M shares
5 years-7%-13M shares
Available history-9.4%-18M shares

KEYS has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

KEYS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

KEYS has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

KEYS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.5Neutral
Stochastic20.0Neutral

KEYS's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

KEYS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricKEYSSector medianRelative
PE42x28x50% above
PE %713536 pts above

KEYS is trading at 42x earnings, a 50% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

KEYS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$332.48.5% below
20 week MA$329.27.6% below
50 week MA$300.21.3% above
100 week MA$232.031% above
200 week MA$191.459% above

KEYS has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over KEYS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

KEYS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$103.2$131.0+27%
2021$131.0$201.4+54%
2022$201.4$169.8-16%
2023$169.8$159.1-6.3%
2024$159.1$162.9+2.4%
2025$162.9$206.0+26%
2026 YTD$206.0$304.2+48%

KEYS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 48% so far in 2026.

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