INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has a slight edge over ITRI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ITRI

Itron, Inc.

64
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ITRI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

ITRI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

ITRI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ITRI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE294x588x882x1176x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE294x588x882x1176x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$96.41—
Current16x$96.41—
Cheap17x$104+7.7%
Fair25x$155+61%
Expensive58x$357+270%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ITRI's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over ITRI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ITRI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ITRI, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ITRI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ITRI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$120.96
Downside-21%$76.49

Calculated from the latest close: $96.41 on Nov 12.

ITRI trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ITRI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.11Q1 2024: $3.49Q2 2024: $4.06Q3 2024: $4.89Q4 2024: $5.18Q1 2025: $5.48Q2 2025: $5.85Q3 2025: $5.56Q4 2025: $6.50Q1 2026: $6.26Q2 2026: $5.98Q3 2026: $6.18Forward: $6.78
Q4 2023: $2.11Q1 2024: $3.49Q2 2024: $4.06Q3 2024: $4.89Q4 2024: $5.18Q1 2025: $5.48Q2 2025: $5.85Q3 2025: $5.56Q4 2025: $6.50Q1 2026: $6.26Q2 2026: $5.98Q3 2026: $6.18Forward: $6.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.78+9.7%
Q3 2026$6.18+11%
Q2 2026$5.98+2.2%
Q1 2026$6.26+14%
Q4 2025$6.50+25%
Q3 2025$5.56+14%
Q2 2025$5.85+44%
Q1 2025$5.48+57%
Q4 2024$5.18+145%

ITRI has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC has the edge over ITRI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ITRI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $577MQ1 2024: $603MQ2 2024: $609MQ3 2024: $615MQ4 2024: $613MQ1 2025: $607MQ2 2025: $607MQ3 2025: $582MQ4 2025: $572MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $563MQ3 2026: $599M
Q4 2023: $577MQ1 2024: $603MQ2 2024: $609MQ3 2024: $615MQ4 2024: $613MQ1 2025: $607MQ2 2025: $607MQ3 2025: $582MQ4 2025: $572MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $563MQ3 2026: $599M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$599.3M+3%
Q2 2026$562.9M-7.2%
Q1 2026$587M-3.3%
Q4 2025$571.7M-6.7%
Q3 2025$581.6M-5.5%
Q2 2025$606.8M-0.4%
Q1 2025$607.2M+0.6%
Q4 2024$612.9M+6.2%

ITRI's revenue has held roughly level: $599M last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over ITRI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ITRI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $112MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $96M
Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $34MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: $113MQ4 2025: $112MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $81MQ3 2026: $96M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$95.5M-16%
Q2 2026$81.5M-10%
Q1 2026$79M+17%
Q4 2025$111.5M+59%
Q3 2025$113.4M+93%
Q2 2025$90.7M+103%
Q1 2025$67.5M+98%
Q4 2024$70.2M+78%

ITRI generated $368M in free cash flow over the past year, up 7.5% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

ITRI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 44M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 46MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 46MQ4 2024: 46MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 46MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 46MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 45MQ3 2026: 44M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-197K shares
1 year-4.8%-2.2M shares
3 years-3.3%-1.5M shares
5 years-1.8%-829K shares
Available history+11%+4.4M shares

ITRI has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

ITRI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.6xQ2 2024: 1.1xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.3xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

ITRI has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ITRI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.3Neutral
Stochastic62.0Neutral

ITRI's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ITRI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricITRISector medianRelative
PE16x28x44% below
PE %133522 pts below

ITRI is trading at 16x earnings, a 44% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

ITRI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$90.46.6% above
20 week MA$92.44.4% above
50 week MA$91.55.3% above
100 week MA$102.96.3% below
200 week MA$92.04.8% above

ITRI has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over ITRI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ITRI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$83.8$93.9+12%
2021$93.9$66.6-29%
2022$66.6$49.6-26%
2023$49.6$75.5+52%
2024$75.5$109.2+45%
2025$109.2$96.5-12%
2026 YTD$96.5$96.4-0.1%

ITRI has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

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