INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

IT

Gartner, Inc.

80
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

IT has the edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

IT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

IT's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$191—
Current14x$191—
Cheap21x$288+51%
Fair36x$503+164%
Expensive49x$692+263%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IT's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over IT on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

IT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect IT's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC trails IT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$263.25
Downside-13%$165.34

Calculated from the latest close: $190.84 on Nov 12.

IT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INTC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

IT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.08Q1 2024: $10.07Q2 2024: $10.52Q3 2024: $13.58Q4 2024: $16.00Q1 2025: $16.04Q2 2025: $16.22Q3 2025: $11.37Q4 2025: $9.65Q1 2026: $10.12Q2 2026: $11.15Q3 2026: $14.03Forward: $16.18
Q4 2023: $11.08Q1 2024: $10.07Q2 2024: $10.52Q3 2024: $13.58Q4 2024: $16.00Q1 2025: $16.04Q2 2025: $16.22Q3 2025: $11.37Q4 2025: $9.65Q1 2026: $10.12Q2 2026: $11.15Q3 2026: $14.03Forward: $16.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$16.18+15%
Q3 2026$14.03+23%
Q2 2026$11.15-31%
Q1 2026$10.12-37%
Q4 2025$9.65-40%
Q3 2025$11.37-16%
Q2 2025$16.22+54%
Q1 2025$16.04+59%
Q4 2024$16.00+44%

IT has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

IT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-1.3%
Q2 2026$1.7B-0.6%
Q1 2026$1.5B-1.5%
Q4 2025$1.8B+2.2%
Q3 2025$1.5B+2.7%
Q2 2025$1.7B+5.7%
Q1 2025$1.5B+4.2%
Q4 2024$1.7B+8.1%

IT has the edge over INTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over IT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $196MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $341MQ3 2024: $565MQ4 2024: $311MQ1 2025: $288MQ2 2025: $347MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $271MQ1 2026: $371MQ2 2026: $378MQ3 2026: $275M
Q4 2023: $196MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $341MQ3 2024: $565MQ4 2024: $311MQ1 2025: $288MQ2 2025: $347MQ3 2025: $269MQ4 2025: $271MQ1 2026: $371MQ2 2026: $378MQ3 2026: $275M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$275.2M+2.2%
Q2 2026$378.4M+8.9%
Q1 2026$370.6M+29%
Q4 2025$270.7M-13%
Q3 2025$269.3M-52%
Q2 2025$347.3M+2%
Q1 2025$287.9M+73%
Q4 2024$311.4M+59%

IT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.3B over the past year, up 6.5% from the year before.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

IT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 75MQ4 2025: 76MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 80MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 78MQ3 2024: 78MQ4 2024: 78MQ1 2025: 78MQ2 2025: 77MQ3 2025: 75MQ4 2025: 76MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4%-2.6M shares
1 year-15%-11M shares
3 years-20%-15.6M shares
5 years-25%-20.8M shares
Available history-30%-27M shares

IT has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

IT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.5xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 1.1xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

IT has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

IT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic58.0Neutral

IT's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricITSector medianRelative
PE14x28x51% below
PE %13534 pts below

IT is trading at 14x earnings, a 51% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

IT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$201.25.1% below
20 week MA$181.25.3% above
50 week MA$179.66.3% above
100 week MA$277.031% below
200 week MA$345.745% below

IT's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% below its 200-week average.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over IT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$153.8$158.6+3.1%
2021$158.6$325.5+105%
2022$325.5$336.0+3.2%
2023$336.0$451.1+34%
2024$451.1$487.0+7.9%
2025$487.0$252.6-48%
2026 YTD$252.6$190.8-24%

IT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +105% in 2021 to −48% in 2025. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

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