INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

IOT

Samsara Inc.

73
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

IOT has the edge over INTC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

IOT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

IOT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IOT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x428x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE107x214x321x428x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward46x$41.32—
Cheap250x$40.07-3%
Current258x$41.32—
Fair314x$50.16+21%
Expensive385x$61.52+49%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IOT's PE is 258x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

IOT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for IOT, with profitability improving.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IOT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IOT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$64.21
Downside-33%$27.54

Calculated from the latest close: $41.32 on Nov 12.

IOT trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

IOT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.54Q2 2024: $-0.51Q3 2024: $-0.49Q4 2024: $-0.48Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.02Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.90
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.54Q2 2024: $-0.51Q3 2024: $-0.49Q4 2024: $-0.48Q1 2025: $-0.28Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.16Q4 2025: $-0.08Q1 2026: $-0.02Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.90+460%
Q3 2026$0.16+$0.32
Q2 2026$0.10+$0.32
Q1 2026-$0.02+$0.26
Q4 2025-$0.08+$0.40
Q3 2025-$0.16+$0.33
Q2 2025-$0.22+$0.29
Q1 2025-$0.28+$0.26
Q4 2024-$0.48-$0.06

IOT has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

IOT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $238MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $300MQ4 2024: $322MQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $367MQ3 2025: $391MQ4 2025: $416MQ1 2026: $444MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $508M
Q4 2023: $238MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $300MQ4 2024: $322MQ1 2025: $346MQ2 2025: $367MQ3 2025: $391MQ4 2025: $416MQ1 2026: $444MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $508M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$508.4M+30%
Q2 2026$478.8M+31%
Q1 2026$444.3M+28%
Q4 2025$416M+29%
Q3 2025$391.5M+30%
Q2 2025$366.9M+31%
Q1 2025$346.3M+25%
Q4 2024$322M+36%

IOT has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $3.8B over the past year.

IOT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $44MQ4 2025: $56MQ1 2026: $62MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$64.7M+46%
Q2 2026$73.2M+60%
Q1 2026$61.7M+27%
Q4 2025$55.8M+79%
Q3 2025$44.2M+237%
Q2 2025$45.7M+146%
Q1 2025$48.5M+$92.5M
Q4 2024$31.2M+266%

IOT has the edge over INTC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

IOT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 537MQ1 2024: 535MQ2 2024: 549MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 559MQ1 2025: 556MQ2 2025: 568MQ3 2025: 572MQ4 2025: 586MQ1 2026: 573MQ2 2026: 588MQ3 2026: 590M
Q4 2023: 537MQ1 2024: 535MQ2 2024: 549MQ3 2024: 554MQ4 2024: 559MQ1 2025: 556MQ2 2025: 568MQ3 2025: 572MQ4 2025: 586MQ1 2026: 573MQ2 2026: 588MQ3 2026: 590M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+2.8M shares
1 year+3.3%+18.7M shares
3 years+11%+58.7M shares
5 years+17%+87.5M shares

IOT has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

IOT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -14.9xQ3 2026: -5.9x
Q2 2026: -14.9xQ3 2026: -5.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-14.9xNet Cash

IOT has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

IOT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.4Neutral
Stochastic59.4Neutral

IOT's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IOT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIOTSector medianRelative
PE258x28x827% above
PE %304717 pts below

IOT is trading at 258x earnings, a 827% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

IOT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$41.20.3% above
20 week MA$39.54.5% above
50 week MA$35.217% above
100 week MA$38.28.3% above
200 week MA$34.918% above

IOT has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over IOT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

IOT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$22.3$27.6+24%
2022$27.6$12.3-56%
2023$12.3$33.4+172%
2024$33.4$44.4+33%
2025$44.4$36.5-18%
2026 YTD$36.5$41.3+13%

IOT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +172% in 2023 to −56% in 2022. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

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