INSP

Inspire Medical Systems, Inc.

62
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

INSP has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over INSP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

INSP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

INSP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INSP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE279x559x838x1118x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE279x559x838x1118x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$39.83-34%
Current18x$60.54—
Forward43x$60.54—
Fair58x$194+220%
Expensive173x$579+857%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

INSP's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 43x, in its fair range.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over INSP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

INSP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect INSP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over INSP on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

INSP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$85.33
Downside-31%$42.02

Calculated from the latest close: $60.54 on Nov 12.

INSP trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INSP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INSP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.72Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $0.20Q3 2024: $1.09Q4 2024: $1.75Q1 2025: $2.19Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $1.49Q4 2025: $4.89Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.53Q3 2026: $3.35Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $-0.72Q1 2024: $-0.53Q2 2024: $0.20Q3 2024: $1.09Q4 2024: $1.75Q1 2025: $2.19Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $1.49Q4 2025: $4.89Q1 2026: $4.40Q2 2026: $4.53Q3 2026: $3.35Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41-58%
Q3 2026$3.35+125%
Q2 2026$4.53+159%
Q1 2026$4.40+101%
Q4 2025$4.89+179%
Q3 2025$1.49+37%
Q2 2025$1.75+775%
Q1 2025$2.19+$2.72
Q4 2024$1.75+$2.47

INSP has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

INSP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $193MQ1 2024: $164MQ2 2024: $196MQ3 2024: $203MQ4 2024: $240MQ1 2025: $201MQ2 2025: $217MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: $205MQ2 2026: $201MQ3 2026: $207M
Q4 2023: $193MQ1 2024: $164MQ2 2024: $196MQ3 2024: $203MQ4 2024: $240MQ1 2025: $201MQ2 2025: $217MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: $205MQ2 2026: $201MQ3 2026: $207M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$206.7M-7.9%
Q2 2026$200.6M-7.6%
Q1 2026$204.6M+1.6%
Q4 2025$269.1M+12%
Q3 2025$224.5M+10%
Q2 2025$217.1M+11%
Q1 2025$201.3M+23%
Q4 2024$239.7M+25%

INSP's revenue has held roughly level: $207M last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over INSP on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INSP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $39M
Q4 2023: $9MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $62MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: −$6MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $39M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$38.9M-33%
Q2 2026$14.1M+$20.4M
Q1 2026$3.1M+$18.2M
Q4 2025$41.8M-33%
Q3 2025$58.1M+31%
Q2 2025-$6.3M+$6.2M
Q1 2025-$15.1M-$12.3M
Q4 2024$62.2M+573%

INSP generated $98M in free cash flow over the past year, about the same as the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over INSP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INSP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 29M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-11.5K shares
1 year-2.3%-671K shares
3 years-1.5%-437K shares
5 years+6%+1.6M shares
Available history+22%+5.1M shares

INSP has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

INSP Net Leverage

Q3 2024: -8.0xQ4 2024: -3.5xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -2.1xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -5.6x
Q3 2024: -8.0xQ4 2024: -3.5xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -2.1xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.8xQ3 2026: -5.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.5xNet Cash

INSP has the edge over OSCR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

INSP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.7Neutral
Stochastic44.4Neutral

INSP's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

INSP PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricINSPSector medianRelative
PE18x26x30% below
PE %32293 pts above

INSP is trading at 18x earnings, a 30% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over INSP on valuation relative to its sector.

INSP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.711% below
20 week MA$62.22.7% below
50 week MA$64.86.5% below
100 week MA$99.339% below
200 week MA$156.261% below

INSP is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 61% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over INSP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INSP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.2$190.7+157%
2021$190.7$239.2+25%
2022$239.2$257.5+7.7%
2023$257.5$203.4-21%
2024$203.4$188.5-7.3%
2025$188.5$95.5-49%
2026 YTD$95.5$60.5-37%

INSP has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 37% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over INSP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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