INNV

InnovAge Holding Corp.

65
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

INNV has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INNV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

INNV's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

INNV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x204x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x204x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$9.40—
Cheap44x$2.62-72%
Fair87x$5.22-44%
Expensive150x$8.97-4.6%
Current157x$9.40—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

INNV's PE is in its expensive range at 157x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over INNV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

INNV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

INNV has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

INNV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$14.78
Downside-23%$7.22

Calculated from the latest close: $9.40 on Nov 12.

INNV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UNH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH trails INNV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INNV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.16Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.19Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.12Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.45
Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.16Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.19Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.12Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.45+655%
Q3 2026$0.06+$0.18
Q2 2026-$0.02+$0.20
Q1 2026-$0.08+$0.15
Q4 2025$0.06+$0.25
Q3 2025-$0.12$0.00
Q2 2025-$0.22-$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.23$0.00
Q4 2024-$0.19+$0.05

INNV has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

INNV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $189MQ1 2024: $193MQ2 2024: $199MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $221MQ3 2025: $236MQ4 2025: $240MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $262MQ3 2026: $265M
Q4 2023: $189MQ1 2024: $193MQ2 2024: $199MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $221MQ3 2025: $236MQ4 2025: $240MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $262MQ3 2026: $265M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$264.8M+12%
Q2 2026$262M+18%
Q1 2026$251.9M+15%
Q4 2025$239.7M+15%
Q3 2025$236.1M+15%
Q2 2025$221.4M+11%
Q1 2025$218.1M+13%
Q4 2024$209M+11%

INNV has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

INNV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: −$153,000Q4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: −$153,000Q4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.8M+$25.9M
Q2 2026$17M+85%
Q1 2026$14.5M-33%
Q4 2025$19M+251%
Q3 2025-$153K+$9.6M
Q2 2025$9.2M+$10.6M
Q1 2025$21.7M+611%
Q4 2024$5.4M+$16.3M

INNV has the edge over UNH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

INNV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 135MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 135MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 136MQ1 2026: 136MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 137M
Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 135MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 135MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 136MQ1 2026: 136MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 137M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+1.4M shares
1 year+0.2%+308K shares
3 years+0.9%+1.3M shares
5 years+1.1%+1.6M shares
Available history+1.2%+1.6M shares

INNV has 137M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over INNV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INNV Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 9.3xQ3 2025: -3.1xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -4.4xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.0x
Q3 2024: 9.3xQ3 2025: -3.1xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -4.4xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q3 20249.3xHigh
Q2 2022-11.8xNet Cash
Q1 2022-4.0xNet Cash

INNV has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

INNV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.8Neutral
Stochastic20.7Neutral

INNV's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

INNV PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricINNVSector medianRelative
PE157x26x506% above
PE %903555 pts above

INNV is trading at 157x earnings, a 506% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over INNV on valuation relative to its sector.

INNV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.133% above
20 week MA$10.49.2% below
50 week MA$8.599.4% above
100 week MA$6.2650% above
200 week MA$6.0855% above

INNV's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 55% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

INNV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.1$5.31-78%
2022$5.31$6.85+29%
2023$6.85$6.00-12%
2024$6.00$3.92-35%
2025$3.92$5.54+41%
2026 YTD$5.54$9.40+70%

INNV has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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