INNV

InnovAge Holding Corp.

65
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation41/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

INNV's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over INNV overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

INNV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

INNV's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INNV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x204x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE51x102x153x204x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward21x$9.40—
Cheap44x$2.62-72%
Fair87x$5.22-44%
Expensive150x$8.97-4.6%
Current157x$9.40—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

INNV's PE is in its expensive range at 157x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY has the edge over INNV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

INNV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INNV, with profitability improving.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

INNV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$14.78
Downside-23%$7.22

Calculated from the latest close: $9.40 on Nov 12.

INNV trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INNV, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INNV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.16Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.19Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.12Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.45
Q4 2023: $-0.24Q1 2024: $-0.23Q2 2024: $-0.16Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.19Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $-0.12Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $0.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.45+655%
Q3 2026$0.06+$0.18
Q2 2026-$0.02+$0.20
Q1 2026-$0.08+$0.15
Q4 2025$0.06+$0.25
Q3 2025-$0.12$0.00
Q2 2025-$0.22-$0.06
Q1 2025-$0.23$0.00
Q4 2024-$0.19+$0.05

INNV has returned to profit: it earned $0.06 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over INNV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INNV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $189MQ1 2024: $193MQ2 2024: $199MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $221MQ3 2025: $236MQ4 2025: $240MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $262MQ3 2026: $265M
Q4 2023: $189MQ1 2024: $193MQ2 2024: $199MQ3 2024: $205MQ4 2024: $209MQ1 2025: $218MQ2 2025: $221MQ3 2025: $236MQ4 2025: $240MQ1 2026: $252MQ2 2026: $262MQ3 2026: $265M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$264.8M+12%
Q2 2026$262M+18%
Q1 2026$251.9M+15%
Q4 2025$239.7M+15%
Q3 2025$236.1M+15%
Q2 2025$221.4M+11%
Q1 2025$218.1M+13%
Q4 2024$209M+11%

INNV's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $265M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over INNV on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

INNV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: −$153,000Q4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: −$153,000Q4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25.8M+$25.9M
Q2 2026$17M+85%
Q1 2026$14.5M-33%
Q4 2025$19M+251%
Q3 2025-$153K+$9.6M
Q2 2025$9.2M+$10.6M
Q1 2025$21.7M+611%
Q4 2024$5.4M+$16.3M

INNV has the edge over LLY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

INNV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 135MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 135MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 136MQ1 2026: 136MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 137M
Q4 2023: 136MQ1 2024: 136MQ2 2024: 136MQ3 2024: 136MQ4 2024: 135MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 135MQ3 2025: 137MQ4 2025: 136MQ1 2026: 136MQ2 2026: 136MQ3 2026: 137M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+1.4M shares
1 year+0.2%+308K shares
3 years+0.9%+1.3M shares
5 years+1.1%+1.6M shares
Available history+1.2%+1.6M shares

INNV has 137M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over INNV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INNV Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 9.3xQ3 2025: -3.1xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -4.4xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.0x
Q3 2024: 9.3xQ3 2025: -3.1xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -4.4xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q3 20249.3xHigh
Q2 2022-11.8xNet Cash
Q1 2022-4.0xNet Cash

INNV has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

INNV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.8Neutral
Stochastic20.7Neutral

INNV's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

INNV PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricINNVSector medianRelative
PE157x26x506% above
PE %903555 pts above

INNV is trading at 157x earnings, a 506% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over INNV on valuation relative to its sector.

INNV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.133% above
20 week MA$10.49.2% below
50 week MA$8.599.4% above
100 week MA$6.2650% above
200 week MA$6.0855% above

INNV's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 55% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over INNV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INNV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$24.1$5.31-78%
2022$5.31$6.85+29%
2023$6.85$6.00-12%
2024$6.00$3.92-35%
2025$3.92$5.54+41%
2026 YTD$5.54$9.40+70%

INNV has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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