INGR

Ingredion Incorporated

45
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential25/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

INGR's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 4.8% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 2 points to 11%. At 11x earnings, it's trading below its usual 13x. Its downside scenario is about three times its upside.

INGR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

INGR's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

INGR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x199x265x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x199x265x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.6x$92.72—
Cheap11x$99.63+7.4%
Current11x$92.72—
Fair13x$118+27%
Expensive17x$150+62%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

INGR's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.6x.

INGR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect INGR's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

INGR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$100.89
Downside-27%$68.01

Calculated from the latest close: $92.72 on Nov 12.

INGR's one-year downside scenario is about three times its upside: −27% against +8.8%.

INGR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.60Q1 2024: $9.98Q2 2024: $9.78Q3 2024: $10.25Q4 2024: $9.71Q1 2025: $9.48Q2 2025: $10.25Q3 2025: $10.03Q4 2025: $11.16Q1 2026: $10.38Q2 2026: $9.17Q3 2026: $8.79Forward: $9.63
Q4 2023: $9.60Q1 2024: $9.98Q2 2024: $9.78Q3 2024: $10.25Q4 2024: $9.71Q1 2025: $9.48Q2 2025: $10.25Q3 2025: $10.03Q4 2025: $11.16Q1 2026: $10.38Q2 2026: $9.17Q3 2026: $8.79Forward: $9.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.63+9.5%
Q3 2026$8.79-12%
Q2 2026$9.17-11%
Q1 2026$10.38+9.5%
Q4 2025$11.16+15%
Q3 2025$10.03-2.1%
Q2 2025$10.25+4.8%
Q1 2025$9.48-5%
Q4 2024$9.71+1.1%

INGR earned $8.79 per share over the past year, down 12% from the year before.

INGR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.8BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B-1.3%
Q2 2026$1.9B+0.9%
Q1 2026$1.8B-1.2%
Q4 2025$1.8B-2.4%
Q3 2025$1.8B-2.9%
Q2 2025$1.8B-2.4%
Q1 2025$1.8B-3.7%
Q4 2024$1.8B-6.3%

INGR's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.8B last quarter, down 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

INGR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $327MQ1 2024: $144MQ2 2024: $257MQ3 2024: $429MQ4 2024: $305MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $270MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $163M
Q4 2023: $327MQ1 2024: $144MQ2 2024: $257MQ3 2024: $429MQ4 2024: $305MQ1 2025: −$15MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $172MQ4 2025: $270MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: $163M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$163M-5.2%
Q2 2026-$10M-112%
Q1 2026-$77M-$62M
Q4 2025$270M-11%
Q3 2025$172M-60%
Q2 2025$84M-67%
Q1 2025-$15M-110%
Q4 2024$305M-6.7%

INGR still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $346M over the past year.

INGR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 64MQ2 2026: 64MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-200K shares
1 year-2.6%-1.7M shares
3 years-4.9%-3.3M shares
5 years-5.8%-3.9M shares
Available history-5.5%-3.7M shares

INGR has 64M diluted shares, down 2.6% from a year ago.

INGR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.2xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

INGR's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

INGR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.4Neutral
Stochastic15.9Oversold

INGR's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

INGR PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricINGRSector medianRelative
PE11x19x46% below
PE %81810 pts below

INGR is trading at 11x earnings, a 46% discount to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

INGR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$95.32.7% below
20 week MA$99.16.4% below
50 week MA$105.912% below
100 week MA$117.521% below
200 week MA$115.420% below

INGR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

INGR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$94.2$79.4-16%
2021$79.4$94.8+19%
2022$94.8$98.9+4.3%
2023$98.9$108.5+9.8%
2024$108.5$138.6+28%
2025$138.6$111.4-20%
2026 YTD$111.4$92.7-17%

INGR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

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