INGN

Inogen, Inc.

42
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

INGN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over INGN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

INGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Under pressure
Strong

INGN's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INGN PE Valuation

INGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

INGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect INGN's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over INGN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

INGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$7.17
Downside-22%$4.39

Calculated from the latest close: $5.62 on Nov 12.

INGN trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INGN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

INGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.42Q1 2024: $-4.16Q2 2024: $-3.98Q3 2024: $-2.26Q4 2024: $-1.52Q1 2025: $-1.15Q2 2025: $-1.06Q3 2025: $-1.01Q4 2025: $-0.86Q1 2026: $-0.91Q2 2026: $-0.90Q3 2026: $-1.31
Q4 2023: $-4.42Q1 2024: $-4.16Q2 2024: $-3.98Q3 2024: $-2.26Q4 2024: $-1.52Q1 2025: $-1.15Q2 2025: $-1.06Q3 2025: $-1.01Q4 2025: $-0.86Q1 2026: $-0.91Q2 2026: $-0.90Q3 2026: $-1.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.31-$0.30
Q2 2026-$0.90+$0.16
Q1 2026-$0.91+$0.24
Q4 2025-$0.86+$0.66
Q3 2025-$1.01+$1.25
Q2 2025-$1.06+$2.92
Q1 2025-$1.15+$3.01
Q4 2024-$1.52+$2.90

INGN is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.31 per share over the past year, against $5.75 at its worst in late 2023.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over INGN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $76MQ1 2024: $78MQ2 2024: $89MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $92MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: $77M
Q4 2023: $76MQ1 2024: $78MQ2 2024: $89MQ3 2024: $89MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $82MQ2 2025: $92MQ3 2025: $92MQ4 2025: $82MQ1 2026: $85MQ2 2026: $95MQ3 2026: $77M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$77.2M-16%
Q2 2026$95.1M+3%
Q1 2026$85.1M+3.4%
Q4 2025$81.7M+2%
Q3 2025$92.4M+4%
Q2 2025$92.3M+4%
Q1 2025$82.3M+5.5%
Q4 2024$80.1M+5.5%

INGN's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $77M last quarter, down 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over INGN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: −$5MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.8M-397%
Q2 2026$2.2M-39%
Q1 2026-$6.9M+$10.2M
Q4 2025-$1.9M+$1.4M
Q3 2025$1.6M-70%
Q2 2025$3.7M-45%
Q1 2025-$17.1M-$11M
Q4 2024-$3.3M+$1.2M

INGN's free cash flow was −$11M over the past year, against −$15M the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over INGN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

INGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 23MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.2%-584K shares
1 year-2.3%-614K shares
3 years+14%+3.2M shares
5 years+16%+3.6M shares
Available history+21%+4.6M shares

INGN has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

INGN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022-122.1xNet Cash
Q1 2022-13.6xNet Cash
Q4 2021-8.9xNet Cash
Q3 2021-9.0xNet Cash
Q2 2021-13.6xNet Cash
Q1 2021-80.5xNet Cash
Q4 2020-103.4xNet Cash
Q3 2020-110.1xNet Cash

INGN has more cash than debt.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

INGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.4Neutral
Stochastic47.7Neutral

INGN's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

INGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricINGNSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

INGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

INGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.178.9% below
20 week MA$6.026.6% below
50 week MA$6.2811% below
100 week MA$7.0721% below
200 week MA$8.2832% below

INGN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over INGN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$68.5$43.3-37%
2021$43.3$32.7-25%
2022$32.7$19.9-39%
2023$19.9$5.49-72%
2024$5.49$8.58+56%
2025$8.58$6.80-21%
2026 YTD$6.80$5.62-17%

INGN has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over INGN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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