INDI

indie Semiconductor, Inc.

53
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

INDI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over INDI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

INDI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

INDI's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

INDI PE Valuation

INDI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

INDI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

INDI has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

INDI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+89%$4.11
Downside-46%$1.17

Calculated from the latest close: $2.18 on Nov 12.

INDI trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INDI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

INDI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.45Q2 2024: $-0.47Q3 2024: $-0.63Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.84Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $-0.76Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.45Q2 2024: $-0.47Q3 2024: $-0.63Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.84Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $-0.76Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.73+$0.11
Q1 2026-$0.76-$0.01
Q4 2025-$0.73+$0.03
Q3 2025-$0.75-$0.12
Q2 2025-$0.84-$0.37
Q1 2025-$0.75-$0.30
Q4 2024-$0.76+$0.05

INDI is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $1.29 at its worst in late 2021.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over INDI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INDI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$70.2M+31%
Q2 2026$64M+24%
Q1 2026$55.5M+2.6%
Q4 2025$58M0%
Q3 2025$53.7M-0.5%
Q2 2025$51.6M-1.4%
Q1 2025$54.1M+3.3%
Q4 2024$58M-17%

INDI's revenue is growing: $70M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over INDI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INDI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: −$23M
Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: −$23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.1M-$12.8M
Q2 2026-$32M-$18.4M
Q1 2026-$25.3M+$6M
Q4 2025-$16.1M-$7.5M
Q3 2025-$10.3M+$19M
Q2 2025-$13.6M+$9.8M
Q1 2025-$31.4M-$19.7M
Q4 2024-$8.6M+$12M

INDI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$97M over the past year, against −$64M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over INDI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

INDI Total Shares

Q1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 179MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 191MQ2 2025: 195MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 207MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 219M
Q1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 179MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 191MQ2 2025: 195MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 207MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 219M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+7.3M shares
1 year+10%+20M shares
3 years+54%+77.3M shares
5 years+116%+118M shares
Available history+98%+108M shares

INDI has 219M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over INDI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INDI Net Leverage

INDI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

INDI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.6Neutral
Stochastic12.5Oversold

INDI's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

INDI PE vs Technology Sector

INDI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INDI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.211.4% below
20 week MA$3.1831% below
50 week MA$3.5639% below
100 week MA$3.5939% below
200 week MA$5.2258% below

INDI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 58% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over INDI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INDI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.88$12.9+30%
2021$12.9$11.6-9.7%
2022$11.6$6.21-46%
2023$6.21$8.11+31%
2024$8.11$4.34-46%
2025$4.34$3.74-14%
2026 YTD$3.74$2.18-42%

INDI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over INDI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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