INDI

indie Semiconductor, Inc.

53
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

INDI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over INDI overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

INDI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

INDI's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INDI PE Valuation

INDI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

INDI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

INDI has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

INDI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+89%$4.11
Downside-46%$1.17

Calculated from the latest close: $2.18 on Nov 12.

INDI trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than INDI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INDI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.45Q2 2024: $-0.47Q3 2024: $-0.63Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.84Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $-0.76Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.45Q2 2024: $-0.47Q3 2024: $-0.63Q4 2024: $-0.76Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-0.84Q3 2025: $-0.75Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $-0.76Q2 2026: $-0.73Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.73+$0.11
Q1 2026-$0.76-$0.01
Q4 2025-$0.73+$0.03
Q3 2025-$0.75-$0.12
Q2 2025-$0.84-$0.37
Q1 2025-$0.75-$0.30
Q4 2024-$0.76+$0.05

INDI is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $1.29 at its worst in late 2021.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over INDI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INDI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $70M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: $52MQ2 2024: $52MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $58MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $52MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $70M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$70.2M+31%
Q2 2026$64M+24%
Q1 2026$55.5M+2.6%
Q4 2025$58M0%
Q3 2025$53.7M-0.5%
Q2 2025$51.6M-1.4%
Q1 2025$54.1M+3.3%
Q4 2024$58M-17%

INDI's revenue is growing: $70M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over INDI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INDI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: −$23M
Q4 2023: −$21MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$14MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: −$23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.1M-$12.8M
Q2 2026-$32M-$18.4M
Q1 2026-$25.3M+$6M
Q4 2025-$16.1M-$7.5M
Q3 2025-$10.3M+$19M
Q2 2025-$13.6M+$9.8M
Q1 2025-$31.4M-$19.7M
Q4 2024-$8.6M+$12M

INDI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$97M over the past year, against −$64M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over INDI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

INDI Total Shares

Q1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 179MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 191MQ2 2025: 195MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 207MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 219M
Q1 2024: 165MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 179MQ4 2024: 175MQ1 2025: 191MQ2 2025: 195MQ3 2025: 199MQ4 2025: 197MQ1 2026: 207MQ2 2026: 212MQ3 2026: 219M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+7.3M shares
1 year+10%+20M shares
3 years+54%+77.3M shares
5 years+116%+118M shares
Available history+98%+108M shares

INDI has 219M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over INDI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INDI Net Leverage

INDI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

INDI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.6Neutral
Stochastic12.5Oversold

INDI's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

INDI PE vs Technology Sector

INDI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INDI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.211.4% below
20 week MA$3.1831% below
50 week MA$3.5639% below
100 week MA$3.5939% below
200 week MA$5.2258% below

INDI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 58% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over INDI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INDI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.88$12.9+30%
2021$12.9$11.6-9.7%
2022$11.6$6.21-46%
2023$6.21$8.11+31%
2024$8.11$4.34-46%
2025$4.34$3.74-14%
2026 YTD$3.74$2.18-42%

INDI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over INDI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key