INBK

First Internet Bancorp

64
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

INBK has a slight edge over MS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

INBK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

INBK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like INBK.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

INBK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.5x19x29x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.5x19x29x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.9x$25.40—
Cheap6.6x$11.23-56%
Fair9.8x$16.69-34%
Expensive15x$25.81+1.6%
Current15x$25.40—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

INBK's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over INBK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

INBK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INBK, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

INBK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$38.19
Downside-16%$21.37

Calculated from the latest close: $25.40 on Nov 12.

INBK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS trails INBK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INBK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.95Q1 2024: $1.87Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.51Q4 2024: $2.88Q1 2025: $2.40Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $-3.81Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.85Q2 2026: $-3.60Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $4.33
Q4 2023: $0.95Q1 2024: $1.87Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.51Q4 2024: $2.88Q1 2025: $2.40Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $-3.81Q4 2025: $-4.03Q1 2026: $-3.85Q2 2026: $-3.60Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $4.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.33+155%
Q3 2026$1.70+$5.51
Q2 2026-$3.60-306%
Q1 2026-$3.85-260%
Q4 2025-$4.03-240%
Q3 2025-$3.81-252%
Q2 2025$1.75-17%
Q1 2025$2.40+28%
Q4 2024$2.88+203%

INBK has returned to profit: it earned $1.70 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over INBK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INBK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $39MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $44M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $39MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: $44M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$43.9M+670%
Q2 2026$41.1M+23%
Q1 2026$43.1M+21%
Q4 2025$41.7M+5.6%
Q3 2025$5.7M-83%
Q2 2025$33.5M+3.7%
Q1 2025$35.5M+22%
Q4 2024$39.5M+45%

INBK's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $44M last quarter, up 670% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

INBK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: −$270,000Q4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $75MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: −$270,000Q4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $23MQ1 2026: $75MQ2 2026: $24MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$29.4M-21%
Q2 2026$24.3M+$115.1M
Q1 2026$75.3M+131%
Q4 2025$23.4M+$30.1M
Q3 2025$37M+$37.2M
Q2 2025-$90.8M-687%
Q1 2025$32.6M+1663%
Q4 2024-$6.7M-156%

INBK has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

INBK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 9M
Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+43.9K shares
1 year+1.4%+124K shares
3 years-7.6%-729K shares

INBK has 9M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over INBK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INBK Net Leverage

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

INBK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic16.8Oversold

INBK's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

INBK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricINBKSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %826319 pts above

INBK has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

INBK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.12.8% below
20 week MA$27.47.1% below
50 week MA$24.34.4% above
100 week MA$25.01.7% above
200 week MA$25.50.3% below

INBK's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 0.3% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over INBK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INBK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.1$28.9+20%
2021$28.9$44.6+54%
2022$44.6$24.6-45%
2023$24.6$24.2-1.7%
2024$24.2$36.6+51%
2025$36.6$20.5-44%
2026 YTD$20.5$25.4+24%

INBK has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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