ILMN

Illumina, Inc.

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ILMN has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ILMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ILMN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

ILMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap29x$170-19%
Forward35x$210—
Current36x$210—
Fair52x$300+43%
Expensive84x$487+132%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ILMN's PE is in its cheap range at 36x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 35x.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over ILMN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ILMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ILMN, with profitability improving.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ILMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$292.61
Downside-21%$164.64

Calculated from the latest close: $209.55 on Nov 12.

ILMN trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ILMN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ILMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.34Q1 2024: $-8.15Q2 2024: $-19.15Q3 2024: $-9.96Q4 2024: $-7.69Q1 2025: $-6.08Q2 2025: $7.89Q3 2025: $4.45Q4 2025: $5.45Q1 2026: $5.50Q2 2026: $5.36Q3 2026: $5.81Forward: $5.97
Q4 2023: $-7.34Q1 2024: $-8.15Q2 2024: $-19.15Q3 2024: $-9.96Q4 2024: $-7.69Q1 2025: $-6.08Q2 2025: $7.89Q3 2025: $4.45Q4 2025: $5.45Q1 2026: $5.50Q2 2026: $5.36Q3 2026: $5.81Forward: $5.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.97+2.7%
Q3 2026$5.81+31%
Q2 2026$5.36-32%
Q1 2026$5.50+$11.58
Q4 2025$5.45+$13.14
Q3 2025$4.45+$14.41
Q2 2025$7.89+$27.04
Q1 2025-$6.08+$2.07
Q4 2024-$7.69-$0.35

ILMN has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

ILMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+4.2%
Q2 2026$1.2B+9.4%
Q1 2026$1.1B+4.8%
Q4 2025$1.2B+5%
Q3 2025$1.1B+0.4%
Q2 2025$1.1B-4.8%
Q1 2025$1B-3.3%
Q4 2024$1.1B-1.6%

ILMN's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH has the edge over ILMN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ILMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $173MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $284MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $204MQ3 2025: $253MQ4 2025: $266MQ1 2026: $251MQ2 2026: $161MQ3 2026: $379M
Q4 2023: $173MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $284MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $204MQ3 2025: $253MQ4 2025: $266MQ1 2026: $251MQ2 2026: $161MQ3 2026: $379M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$379M+50%
Q2 2026$161M-21%
Q1 2026$251M+21%
Q4 2025$266M-21%
Q3 2025$253M-11%
Q2 2025$204M+316%
Q1 2025$208M+407%
Q4 2024$335M+94%

ILMN generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5.7% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

ILMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 158MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 159MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 159MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 154MQ4 2025: 156MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 154M
Q4 2023: 158MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 159MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 159MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 154MQ4 2025: 156MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1M shares
1 year0%--
3 years-2.5%-4M shares
5 years+0.7%+1M shares
Available history+3.4%+5M shares

ILMN has 154M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over ILMN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ILMN Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 2022-5.3xNet Cash
Q4 2021-9.7xNet Cash

ILMN has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

ILMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.9Neutral
Stochastic26.8Neutral

ILMN's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

ILMN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricILMNSector medianRelative
PE36x26x40% above
PE %27292 pts below

ILMN is trading at 36x earnings, a 40% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over ILMN on valuation relative to its sector.

ILMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$251.517% below
20 week MA$222.75.9% below
50 week MA$171.522% above
100 week MA$136.154% above
200 week MA$142.447% above

ILMN has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 47% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over ILMN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ILMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$322.9$356.9+11%
2021$356.9$371.5+4.1%
2022$371.5$185.9-50%
2023$185.9$135.3-27%
2024$135.3$135.30%
2025$135.3$135.0-0.2%
2026 YTD$135.0$209.6+55%

ILMN has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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