ILMN

Illumina, Inc.

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ILMN has the edge over OSCR overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

ILMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

ILMN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ILMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap29x$170-19%
Forward35x$210—
Current36x$210—
Fair52x$300+43%
Expensive84x$487+132%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ILMN's PE is in its cheap range at 36x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 35x.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over ILMN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ILMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ILMN, with profitability improving.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over ILMN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

ILMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+40%$292.61
Downside-21%$164.64

Calculated from the latest close: $209.55 on Nov 12.

ILMN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails ILMN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ILMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.34Q1 2024: $-8.15Q2 2024: $-19.15Q3 2024: $-9.96Q4 2024: $-7.69Q1 2025: $-6.08Q2 2025: $7.89Q3 2025: $4.45Q4 2025: $5.45Q1 2026: $5.50Q2 2026: $5.36Q3 2026: $5.81Forward: $5.97
Q4 2023: $-7.34Q1 2024: $-8.15Q2 2024: $-19.15Q3 2024: $-9.96Q4 2024: $-7.69Q1 2025: $-6.08Q2 2025: $7.89Q3 2025: $4.45Q4 2025: $5.45Q1 2026: $5.50Q2 2026: $5.36Q3 2026: $5.81Forward: $5.97
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.97+2.7%
Q3 2026$5.81+31%
Q2 2026$5.36-32%
Q1 2026$5.50+$11.58
Q4 2025$5.45+$13.14
Q3 2025$4.45+$14.41
Q2 2025$7.89+$27.04
Q1 2025-$6.08+$2.07
Q4 2024-$7.69-$0.35

ILMN has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ILMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+4.2%
Q2 2026$1.2B+9.4%
Q1 2026$1.1B+4.8%
Q4 2025$1.2B+5%
Q3 2025$1.1B+0.4%
Q2 2025$1.1B-4.8%
Q1 2025$1B-3.3%
Q4 2024$1.1B-1.6%

ILMN's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over ILMN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ILMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $173MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $284MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $204MQ3 2025: $253MQ4 2025: $266MQ1 2026: $251MQ2 2026: $161MQ3 2026: $379M
Q4 2023: $173MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $284MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $204MQ3 2025: $253MQ4 2025: $266MQ1 2026: $251MQ2 2026: $161MQ3 2026: $379M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$379M+50%
Q2 2026$161M-21%
Q1 2026$251M+21%
Q4 2025$266M-21%
Q3 2025$253M-11%
Q2 2025$204M+316%
Q1 2025$208M+407%
Q4 2024$335M+94%

ILMN generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 5.7% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over ILMN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ILMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 158MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 159MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 159MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 154MQ4 2025: 156MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 154M
Q4 2023: 158MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 159MQ3 2024: 160MQ4 2024: 159MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 154MQ4 2025: 156MQ1 2026: 154MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1M shares
1 year0%--
3 years-2.5%-4M shares
5 years+0.7%+1M shares
Available history+3.4%+5M shares

ILMN has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

ILMN Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 2022-5.3xNet Cash
Q4 2021-9.7xNet Cash

ILMN's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over ILMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ILMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.9Neutral
Stochastic26.8Neutral

ILMN's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

ILMN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricILMNSector medianRelative
PE36x26x40% above
PE %27292 pts below

ILMN is trading at 36x earnings, a 40% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over ILMN on valuation relative to its sector.

ILMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$251.517% below
20 week MA$222.75.9% below
50 week MA$171.522% above
100 week MA$136.154% above
200 week MA$142.447% above

ILMN has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 47% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over ILMN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ILMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$322.9$356.9+11%
2021$356.9$371.5+4.1%
2022$371.5$185.9-50%
2023$185.9$135.3-27%
2024$135.3$135.30%
2025$135.3$135.0-0.2%
2026 YTD$135.0$209.6+55%

ILMN has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 55% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over ILMN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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