IFS
Intercorp Financial Services Inc.
IFS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over IFS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
IFS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
IFS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like IFS.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
IFS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $35.81 | -30% |
| Fair | 8.4x | $46.57 | -9.3% |
| Current | 9.3x | $51.36 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $67.13 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
IFS has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
IFS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for IFS, but weaker profitability.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over IFS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
IFS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $5.52 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.49 | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.06 | +51% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.10 | +81% |
| Q2 2023 | $4.08 | +8.2% |
| Q1 2023 | $3.88 | -9.6% |
| Q4 2022 | $4.22 | -8.5% |
| Q3 2022 | $3.93 | -20% |
IFS earned $5.52 per share over the past year, up 12% from the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over IFS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IFS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $710.7M | -26% |
| Q1 2026 | $899.1M | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $374.5M | -44% |
| Q3 2025 | $641.3M | -1.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $956.4M | +44% |
| Q1 2025 | $680.6M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $668.2M | -1.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $653.5M | -0.2% |
IFS's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $711M last quarter, down 26% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +7.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 48% | +21 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +5.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 21% | +5.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +15 points |
| Q3 2024 | 21% | +9.5 points |
IFS's operating margin was 29% last quarter, up 7.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over IFS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over IFS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
IFS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $795.8M | +531% |
| Q1 2026 | -$63.9M | +$74.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $769M | +$1.1B |
| Q3 2025 | -$373.3M | -160% |
| Q2 2025 | $126.2M | +$383.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$138.5M | -119% |
| Q4 2024 | -$341.8M | -$190M |
| Q3 2024 | $622.2M | +179% |
IFS has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
IFS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -205K shares |
| 1 year | -1.3% | -1.4M shares |
| 3 years | -3.9% | -4.5M shares |
| 5 years | -3.9% | -4.5M shares |
| Available history | -4% | -4.6M shares |
IFS has 111M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $453,026 |
| Q4 2025 | $10.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $8.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $16.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $41.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $34.6M |
| Q3 2024 | $1.3M |
IFS spent $51M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 46% from the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over IFS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
IFS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
IFS has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
IFS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.0 | Oversold |
IFS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
IFS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | IFS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.3x | 13x | 29% below |
| PE % | 61 | 63 | 2 pts below |
IFS has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
IFS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $51.8 | 0.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $55.0 | 6.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $50.4 | 1.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $43.1 | 19% above |
| 200 week MA | $33.3 | 54% above |
IFS has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 54% above its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
IFS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.7 | $30.0 | -26% |
| 2021 | $30.0 | $25.5 | -15% |
| 2022 | $25.5 | $23.3 | -8.6% |
| 2023 | $23.3 | $22.0 | -5.9% |
| 2024 | $22.0 | $29.1 | +32% |
| 2025 | $29.1 | $42.9 | +48% |
| 2026 YTD | $42.9 | $51.4 | +20% |
IFS has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.