IDN

Intellicheck, Inc.

50
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

IDN offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over IDN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

IDN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

IDN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

IDN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE86x173x259x346x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE86x173x259x346x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current14x$2.24—
Cheap16x$2.53+13%
Fair37x$5.96+166%
Forward45x$2.24—
Expensive134x$21.51+860%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IDN has the edge over MSFT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

IDN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
--
Limited
--

Analysts expect IDN's earnings and revenue to decline, though with profitability holding steady.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over IDN on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

IDN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+85%$4.15
Downside-46%$1.21

Calculated from the latest close: $2.24 on Nov 12.

IDN trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IDN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IDN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $-0.04Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $-0.05Q1 2025: $-0.05Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.15Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.05
Q4 2023: $-0.09Q1 2024: $-0.04Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $-0.05Q1 2025: $-0.05Q2 2025: $-0.05Q3 2025: $0.00Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.15Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.05-69%
Q3 2026$0.16+$0.16
Q2 2026$0.15+$0.20
Q1 2026$0.11+$0.16
Q4 2025$0.06+$0.11
Q3 2025$0.00+$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.05-$0.04
Q1 2025-$0.05-$0.01
Q4 2024-$0.05+$0.04

IDN has returned to profit: it earned $0.16 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over IDN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IDN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.7M-4.6%
Q2 2026$5.9M+16%
Q1 2026$5.5M+13%
Q4 2025$6.6M+12%
Q3 2025$6M+28%
Q2 2025$5.1M+9.7%
Q1 2025$4.9M+4.6%
Q4 2024$5.9M+15%

IDN's revenue is growing: $6M last quarter, down 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over IDN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

IDN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $442,000Q1 2024: $860,000Q2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: $741,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $412,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: $442,000Q1 2024: $860,000Q2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: $741,000Q2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $412,000Q2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1M+$2.8M
Q2 2026$1.8M-43%
Q1 2026$412K-44%
Q4 2025$2.4M+$3.7M
Q3 2025-$1.8M-$670K
Q2 2025$3.1M+$4.3M
Q1 2025$741K-14%
Q4 2024-$1.3M-401%

IDN has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

IDN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21MQ3 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-363K shares
1 year-1.1%-223K shares
3 years+6.7%+1.3M shares
5 years+9.9%+1.9M shares
Available history+30%+4.8M shares

IDN has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

IDN Net Leverage

Q3 2025: -9.9xQ4 2025: -5.4xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.3xQ3 2026: -3.5x
Q3 2025: -9.9xQ4 2025: -5.4xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.3xQ3 2026: -3.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-9.9xNet Cash

IDN has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

IDN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.7Neutral
Stochastic10.7Oversold

IDN's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

IDN PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIDNSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

IDN has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

IDN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.271.3% below
20 week MA$2.8822% below
50 week MA$4.6452% below
100 week MA$4.3849% below
200 week MA$3.4235% below

IDN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 35% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over IDN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

IDN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.19$10.3+44%
2021$10.3$5.17-50%
2022$5.17$2.05-60%
2023$2.05$1.90-7.3%
2024$1.90$2.83+49%
2025$2.83$6.66+135%
2026 YTD$6.66$2.24-66%

IDN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +135% in 2025 to −60% in 2022. It's down 66% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over IDN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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